Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 37

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Pocarisweat Stadium (Naruto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tokushima Vortis		Kagoshima United

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4	Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	1.95	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.35	4.18
	1.97	3.25	3.99	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.92	3.34	3.81	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.09)	3.26 ↑ (3.24)	3.82 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
47.4%

Draw
28.4%

Kagoshima United
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Tokushima Vortis - Kagoshima United Predictions

Users Predictions: Tokushima Vortis will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Tanaka H. (G) 4. Kaique 5. Mori K. 54. Nagaki R. 18. Elsinho 20. Kodama S. 28. Kanuma N. 17. Takada S. 9. Browne N. 88. Watai M. 16. Watari D.	1. Izumori R. (G) 17. Hoshi K. 5. Ibayashi A. 28. Tone I. 14. Nodake H. 8. Fujimura K. 27. Yamaguchi T. 21. Tanaka W. 34. Suzuki S. 20. Endo M. 38. Arita R.
Substitutes
26. Aoki H. 29. Mitsui D. (G) 11. Sugimori K. 10. Sugimoto T. 7. Tiago Alves 30. Tsuboi K. 22. Yanagisawa K.	9. Arita K. 18. Fukuda M. 15. Ihori K. 16. Kawano R. 13. Matsuyama K. (G) 32. Numata T. 23. Okamoto S.
Coaches
Masuda K.	Asano T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Watari D. ⚽, Takada S. (A),
41', Nodake H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Elsinho ↓, Yanagisawa K. ↑,
64', Endo M. ↓, Fukuda M. ↑,
68', Takada S. ↓, Sugimori K. ↑,
68', Watari D. ↓, Tsuboi K. ↑,
74', Fujimura K. ↓, Ihori K. ↑,
74', Fukuda M. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
77', Watai M. ↓, Sugimoto T. ↑,
84', Hoshi K. ↓, Kawano R. ↑,
84', Arita R. ↓, Arita K. ↑,
88', Yanagisawa K. ↓, Aoki H. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Kagoshima United is Relegated to J3 League

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Kagoshima United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tokushima will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tokushima won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 3:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Tokushima won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
27.10.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tokushima Vortis	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Tokushima Vortis - Fujieda MYFC	3:0 ✺
06.10.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Tokushima Vortis	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Blaublitz Akita - Tokushima Vortis	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Tokushima Vortis - Iwaki	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLL
- Kagoshima United
Japan J2 League
27.10.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kagoshima United	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Kagoshima United - Ehime	4:0 ✺
06.10.24	Yokohama FC - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Kagoshima United - Mito HollyHock	3:0 ✺
22.09.24	Tochigi - Kagoshima United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
02.03.24	Kagoshima United - Tokushima Vortis	2:1
31.07.19	Tokushima Vortis - Kagoshima United	5:2
23.02.19	Kagoshima United - Tokushima Vortis	4:3

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