Match Info

J2/J3 League - Placement Play Offs - Final

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Location: City Football Station (Tochigi)


	Tochigi City		Reilac Shiga

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.40	3.90
	1.9	3.35	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.52	3.57
	1.97	3.49	3.63	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.25
	2.02	3.62	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.79)	3.46 ↑ (3.41)	3.54 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi City
47.5%

Draw
26.5%

Reilac Shiga
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.5%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

26.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Reilac Shiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilac Shiga than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Tochigi City - Reilac Shiga Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tochigi City will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Reilac Shiga will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Aizawa P. (G) 5. Okui R. 28. Konishi K. 17. Chinen T. 88. Masukake Y. 10. Okaniwa Y. 7. Mori T. 18. Kato M. 23. Yoshida A. 29. Saito K. 32. Koike Y.	1. Ito K. (G) 14. Shiraishi T. 2. Hirai S. 4. Ide K. 44. Fujitani S. 32. Umiguchi G. 8. Nakamura K. 18. Akiyama S. 7. Kubota K. 28. Tabei Y. 10. Hitomi T.
Substitutes
33. Inui T. 42. Jonjic M. 19. Karlsson D.M. 6. Kato Jo 16. Kodama J. (G) 24. Nishiya K. 22. Suzuki H. 77. Tanaka P. 8. Yamashita K.	77. Hojo S. 15. Kikushima T. 17. Kinoshita R. 21. Kushibiki M. (G) 99. Okuda H. 55. Onodera K. 24. Romero F. 16. Suzuki S. 48. Tanida S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Akiyama S. 🟨,
25', Koike Y. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Saito K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', Saito K. 🟨,
54', Hirai S. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Shiraishi T. ⚽, Nakamura K. (A),
58', Akiyama S. ↓, Kikushima T. ↑,
58', Tabei Y. ↓, Kinoshita R. ↑,
70', Yoshida A. ↓, Karlsson D.M. ↑,
70', Saito K. ↓, Yamashita K. ↑,
70', Koike Y. ↓, Tanaka P. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Yamashita K. ⚽,
73', Kubota K. ↓, Hojo S. ↑,
81', Hitomi T. ↓, Okuda H. ↑,
81', Umiguchi G. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Tanaka P. ⚽,
89', Mori T. ↓, Nishiya K. ↑,
89', Kato M. ↓, Kato Jo ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Tochigi City have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Reilac Shiga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Tochigi City is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi City FC
Japan J2 J3 League
30.05.26	Tochigi City - Júbilo Iwata	4:3 penalties ✺
24.05.26	Blaublitz Akita - Tochigi City	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Tochigi City - Montedio Yamagata	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi City	0:1 penalties ✺
06.05.26	Tochigi City - Yokohama FC	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWL
- Reilac Shiga FC
Japan J2 J3 League
30.05.26	Osaka - Reilac Shiga	0:1 ET ✺
24.05.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Reilac Shiga	2:3 penalties ✺
17.05.26	Reilac Shiga - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	Gainare Tottori - Reilac Shiga	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	Reilac Shiga - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.7 WWWLW

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