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Current Win Probability
Cerezo Osaka 52.7%
Draw 26%
Tokushima Vortis 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.7%
27.4%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
26.3%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokushima Vortis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 27. Cools D. 77. Fernandes L. 44. Hatanaka S. 19. Homma S. 5. Kida H. 33. Nishio R. 16. Okuda H. 48. Shibayama M. 55. Vitor Bueno 35. Yoshino K.
21. Nagai K. (G) 5. Aoki H. 14. Hyon R. 4. Kaique 40. Nagaki R. 13. Nishino T. 24. Takada S. 9. Thonny Anderson 30. Tsuboi K. 3. Yamada N. 22. Yanagisawa K.
Substitutes
1. Fukui K. (G) 29. Furuyama K. 8. Kagawa S. 13. Nakajima M. 2. Nakamura T. 9. Rafael Ratao 17. Sakata R. 10. Tanaka S. 11. Thiago Andrade
31. Hasegawa T. (G) 27. Izuchukwu L. 28. Kanuma N. 99. Lucas Barcelos 10. Sugimoto T. 42. Takagi Y. 2. Tamukai T. 16. Watari D. 15. Yamakoshi K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', 🟨,
43', Nishio R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Nagai K. 🟨,
58', Takada S. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
58', Nishino T. ↓, Lucas Barcelos ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Fernandes L. ⚽,
62', Yoshino K. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
62', Vitor Bueno ↓, Rafael Ratao ↑,
71', Lucas Barcelos 🟨,
73', Homma S. 🟨,
74', Tsuboi K. ↓, Izuchukwu L. ↑,
74', Thonny Anderson ↓, Sugimoto T. ↑,
76', Cools D. 🟨,
77', Shibayama M. ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
77', Homma S. ↓, Thiago Andrade ↑,
80', Nagaki R. ↓, Watari D. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Rafael Ratao ⚽,
89', Fernandes L. ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Tokushima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cerezo Osaka is considered a favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
Japan
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Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 
Cools D. 
Fernandes L. 
Hatanaka S. 
Izuchukwu L. 
