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Current Win Probability
Tokyo Verdy 38.3%
Draw 31.8%
Shonan Bellmare 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
28.8%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
29.3%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokyo Verdy's form might have worsened.
Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
55.6%
0%
Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% โ 88.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Vidotto (G) 23. Tsunashima Y. 2. Fukazawa D. 3. Taniguchi H. 22. Onaga H. 7. Morita K. 20. Meshino S. 40. Arai Y. 8. Saito K. 14. Fukuda Y. 9. Someno I.
99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 37. Suzuki Y. 47. Kim Min-Tae 5. Suzuki J. 50. Fujii T. 15. Okuno K. 32. Matsumura S. 18. Ikeda M. 13. Hiraoka T. 9. Oda Y. 19. Fukuda S.
Substitutes
17. Inami T. 37. Kawasaki S. 10. Kimura Y. 25. Kumatoriya I. 19. Matsuhashi Y. 6. Miyahara K. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 15. Suzuki K. 11. Yamami H.
14. Barada A. 3. Hata T. 77. Ishii H. 27. Luiz Phellype 25. Okuno H. 31. Sanada K. (G) 10. Suzuki A. 4. Tachi K. 33. Takahashi N.
Coaches
Hiroshi J.
Yamaguchi S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Morita K. 🟨,
56', Oda Y. ↓, Suzuki A. ↑,
56', Matsumura S. ↓, Hata T. ↑,
58', Saito K. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
58', Meshino S. ↓, Yamami H. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Okuno K. ⚽,
66', Someno I. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
66', Fukuda Y. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
71', Ikeda M. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
71', Hiraoka T. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
81', Arai Y. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
88', Fukuda S. 🟨,
90', Okuno K. ↓, Barada A. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Luiz Phellype ⚽, Okuno H. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1.
Tokyo Verdy is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Shonan Bellmare is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Hirakawa R.
(Yellow Cards)
Sako M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Ishibashi S.
(Ankle Injury)
Matsumoto K.
(Knee Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Knee Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
China
Japan
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Matheus Vidotto (G) 
Tsunashima Y. 
Kim Min-Tae 
