Match Info

J1 League - Round 5

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Saitama Stadium (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Urawa Red Diamonds		Mito HollyHock

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.5	4	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.7	Watch
	1.96	3.62	4.25
	1.98	3.59	3.72	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.8
	1.97	3.48	3.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.06)	3.47 ↓ (3.63)	3.86 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urawa Red Diamonds
48.6%

Draw
27.1%

Mito HollyHock
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

26.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Urawa Red Diamonds - Mito HollyHock Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Mito HollyHock (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Mito HollyHock (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Urawa Red Diamonds will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Urawa Red Diamonds will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Urawa (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Mito HollyHock (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (G) 14. Sekine T. 2. Miyamoto Y. 5. Nemoto K. 26. Ogiwara T. 25. Yasui K. 22. Shibato K. 77. Kaneko T. 13. Watanabe R. (C) 8. Matheus Savio 36. Hidano R.	34. Nishikawa K. (G) 6. Iida T. (C) 17. Itakura K. 71. Fofana M. 7. Omori S. 25. Mase T. 3. Osaki K. 19. Semba T. 8. Kato C. 11. Torikai Y. 10. Watanabe A.
Substitutes
3. Danilo Boza 39. Hayakawa J. 4. Ishihara H. 9. Kiese I. 88. Naganuma Y. 10. Nakajima S. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 45. Onaiwu A. 27. Teruuchi T.	14. Arai M. 2. Danilo Cardoso 87. Gokita K. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 15. Nagao Y. 44. Okuda K. 29. Tada K. 39. Yamamoto H. 24. Yamazaki K.
Coaches
Skorza M.	Kimori D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Fofana M. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Hidano R. ⚽, Shibato K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Semba T. 🟨,
69', Hidano R. ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
72', Kato C. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
72', Mase T. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
73', Fofana M. 🟨,
74', Watanabe R. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Torikai Y. ↓, Danilo Cardoso ↑,
80', Watanabe A. ↓, Gokita K. ↑,
80', Omori S. ↓, Nagao Y. ↑,
82', Yasui K. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
90+1', Kaneko T. ↓, Hayakawa J. ↑,
90+1', Matheus Savio ↓, Teruuchi T. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Teruuchi T. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)).

Urawa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Urawa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Urawa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Urawa Reds: 1.92% Mito: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Mito	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5
17	Urawa Reds	4	1	0	3	8:13	-5	3

Last Results with these Odds

Urawa Red Diamonds - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.94%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
28.02.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 penalties ✺
06.02.26	JEF United Chiba - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kawasaki Frontale	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLWW
- Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League
01.03.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Mito HollyHock	3:2 penalties ✺
22.02.26	Mito HollyHock - JEF United Chiba	2:1 penalties ✺
14.02.26	Machida Zelvia - Mito HollyHock	3:2 penalties ✺
08.02.26	Tokyo Verdy - Mito HollyHock	3:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.11.25	Mito HollyHock - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
14.08.19	Urawa Red Diamonds - Mito HollyHock	2:1

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