Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 19

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Referee: Takayama H. (Jpn)


	Tokyo Verdy		Vegalta Sendai

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3	3
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.31	3.27	3.39
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.21	3.34	3.28	Watch
	2.21	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.53)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	3.21 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
42.2%

Draw
29%

Vegalta Sendai
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.7%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

30.1%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tokyo Verdy's performance.

Vegalta Sendai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tokyo Verdy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Tokyo Verdy - Vegalta Sendai Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Sendai will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vidotto M. (G) 6. Miyahara K. 16. Yamakoshi K. 23. Tsunashima Y. 2. Fukazawa D. 18. Vasquez B. 7. Morita K. 25. Inami T. 20. Kitajima Y. 29. Kawamura K. 11. Sakano T.	33. Hayashi A. (G) 25. Mase T. 5. Wakasa M. 15. Sugata M. 41. Uchida Y. 11. Goke Y. 32. Kamada H. 6. Ewerton 18. Kida R. 13. Yamada H. 7. Nakajima M.
Substitutes
15. Chida K. 14. Engels M. 26. Kato R. 19. Koike J. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 8. Saito K. 27. Yamada G.	50. Endo Y. 35. Foguinho 20. Kim Tae-Hyeon 9. Nakayama M. 1. Obata Y. (G) 10. Ryang Yong-G. 14. Sagara R.
Coaches
Jofuku H.	Ito A.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 11).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Tokyo Verdy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokyo Verdy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
28.05.23	Tokyo Verdy - Iwaki	0:0 ✺
21.05.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
17.05.23	Tochigi - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
13.05.23	Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWLW
- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 League
28.05.23	Vegalta Sendai - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
21.05.23	Omiya Ardija - Vegalta Sendai	1:1 ✺
17.05.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
13.05.23	Vegalta Sendai - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Mito HollyHock - Vegalta Sendai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
02.10.22	Vegalta Sendai - Tokyo Verdy	0:2
04.05.22	Tokyo Verdy - Vegalta Sendai	3:1

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