Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 25

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Almeidão (Tombos)

Referee: da Cruz Y. E. F. (Bra)


	Tombense		Ceará

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	3	3
	2.45	3.09	3.32
	2.3	2.75	3
	2.49	3.06	3.04	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 (2.4)	3 ↓ (3.1)	3.06 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
38.7%

Draw
31%

Ceará
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Tombense - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ceará will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Garcia (G) 2. Pedro Costa 3. Mateus Buiate 4. Roger Carvalho (C) 16. Emerson 5. Bruno Silva 8. Joao Pedro 10. Matheus Frizzo 11. Kleiton 17. Daniel Amorim 7. Alexandre Jesus	94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 17. Warley 4. David Ricardo 13. Luiz Otavio (C) 23. Danilo Barcelos 95. Willian Maranhao 6. Richardson 10. Jean Carlos 30. Chrystian Barletta 73. Saulo Mineiro 11. Erick
Substitutes
13. Augusto 15. Djalma 6. Egidio 20. Fernandao 23. Guilherme Santos 22. Jaderson 12. Jean (G) 19. Keke 9. Marcelinho 21. Pierre 18. Rafinha 14. Ze Vitor	67. Andre Luiz (G) 79. Bissoli 35. Breno 5. Caique 89. Cleber 77. Janderson 98. Leo Santos 27. Pedrinho 19. Pedro Lucas 3. Tiago Pagnussat 7. Ze Ricardo
Coaches
Burse J.	Guto Ferreira

Preview

Tombense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ceará is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tombense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Ceará: Lucas Ribeiro (Injury) Richard (Injury)

There are questionable in Ceará: Chay (Injury) Nicolas (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
19.08.23	Avaí - Tombense	4:2 ✺
11.08.23	Tombense - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
07.08.23	Atlético Goianiense - Tombense	3:2 ✺
02.08.23	Ituano - Tombense	1:0 ✺
30.07.23	Tombense - Criciúma	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLT
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
20.08.23	Ceará - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
13.08.23	Vitória Salvador - Ceará	1:0 ✺
06.08.23	Ceará - ABC	1:0 ✺
02.08.23	Guarani - Ceará	0:0 ✺
28.07.23	Ceará - Ituano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
13.05.23	Ceará - Tombense	2:0
Copa do Brasil
11.05.22	Ceará - Tombense	2:0
20.04.22	Tombense - Ceará	0:2

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