Match Info

Date: 8 April 2022, Friday


	Vasco da Gama		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	4.5
	1.81	3.2	4.25
	1.79	3.15	4.7
	1.88	3.24	5.06
	1.88	3.1	4.5
	1.86	3.28	4.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.93)	3.2 ↓ (3.31)	4.61 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
50.8%

Draw
29.1%

Vila Nova
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

28.5%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

30.5%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+1%)

Vasco da Gama - Vila Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 3.

Vasco is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vila Nova is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Vasco is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Vasco won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
20.03.22	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
16.03.22	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
13.03.22	Vasco da Gama - Resende	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
09.03.22	Juazeirense - Vasco da Gama	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
06.03.22	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
22.03.22	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
19.03.22	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	3:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
15.03.22	Guarani - Vila Nova	2:3 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
12.03.22	Vila Nova - Goianésia	3:1 ✺
09.03.22	Goianésia - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
15.11.21	Vila Nova - Vasco da Gama	2:2
10.08.21	Vasco da Gama - Vila Nova	1:0
Copa do Brasil
01.03.17	Vila Nova - Vasco da Gama	1:2
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.16	Vasco da Gama - Vila Nova	1:2
24.05.16	Vila Nova - Vasco da Gama	0:2
18.11.14	Vasco da Gama - Vila Nova	3:1
19.08.14	Vila Nova - Vasco da Gama	2:1

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