Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 14

Date: 27 June 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Referee: Gomes A. (Bra)


	Vila Nova		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	3.5	5.25
	1.57	3.65	5.6
	1.66	3.6	6.39
	1.63	3.3	6
	1.63	3.6	6	Watch
	1.61	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 (1.62)	3.54 ↑ (3.42)	5.77 ↓ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
57.6%

Draw
26.3%

Tombense
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

27%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

26.5%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	10.5%	10.5%

Vila Nova - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: Vila Nova will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Denis Junior (G) 2. Marcelinho 5. Rafael Donato (C) 3. Doma 6. Rodrigo 11. Everton Brito 8. Ralf 10. Lourenco 77. Guilherme Parede 19. Caio Dantas 9. Neto Pessoa	1. Felipe Garcia (G) 2. Pedro Costa 3. Wesley 4. Augusto 6. Egidio 8. Joao Pedro 5. Bruno Silva (C) 7. Keke 10. Matheus Frizzo 11. Marcelinho 9. Fernandao
Substitutes
18. Cristiano 16. Diego Renan 23. Igor Henrique 20. Luciano Naninho 4. Marcondes 7. Marlone 21. Matheus Souza 22. Rian 17. Ronald 15. Sousa 14. Ulisses 1. Vanderlei (G)	19. Alex Sandro 17. Daniel Amorim 16. Emerson 20. Felipe 15. Guilherme Santos 13. Kevin 12. Leo Lang (G) 18. Pierre 14. Ze Vitor
Coaches
Oliveira C.	Burse J.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Vila Nova is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tombense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vila Nova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.

There will not play in Tombense: Kleiton (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
24.06.23	Botafogo SP - Vila Nova	0:3 ✺
18.06.23	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
10.06.23	Vila Nova - Guarani	0:0 ✺
06.06.23	Chapecoense - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
03.06.23	Vila Nova - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTWW
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
24.06.23	Tombense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
11.06.23	Juventude - Tombense	1:2 ✺
06.06.23	Tombense - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
02.06.23	Botafogo SP - Tombense	0:0 ✺
28.05.23	Tombense - Guarani	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
09.08.22	Tombense - Vila Nova	0:0
26.04.22	Vila Nova - Tombense	1:1

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