The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chapecoense 28.4%
Draw 28.5%
Vasco da Gama 43.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.6%
27.1%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chapecoense's form might have worsened.
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Chapecoense - Vasco da Gama Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 0.
Recent performances by Chapecoense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Vasco might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Chapecoense: Anderson
(Injury)
Fernando
(Injury)
Joao Paulo
(Health problems)
Mauricio Garcez
(Thigh Injury)
Rafael Carvalheira
(Knee Injury)
Robert Conceicao
(Knee Injury)
Victor Caetano
(Calf Injury)
There will not play in Vasco: Mateus Carvalho
(Knee Injury)
Moreira N.
(Yellow Cards)
Saldivia A.
(Calf Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Vasco
31
10
8
13
39:45
-6
38
20
Chapecoense-SC
32
4
9
19
32:66
-34
21
Last Results with these Odds
Chapecoense - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.55%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Vasco da Gama - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 38.35%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.