Match Info

Date: 27 April 2022, Wednesday


	Vasco da Gama		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.1	4.1
	1.98	3	3.8
	2.04	3	3.75
	2.08	3.15	4.22
	1.91	3.1	4.33
	2.06	3.13	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.82)	3.08 ↓ (3.19)	4.02 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
46.7%

Draw
30.2%

Ponte Preta
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

29.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

29%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	17.9%	17.9%

Vasco da Gama - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 18 - 64.3%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 46.6% – 82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 3.

Vasco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ponte Preta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Vasco is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Vasco won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
22.04.22	Chapecoense - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
16.04.22	CRB Maceio - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
08.04.22	Vasco da Gama - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
20.03.22	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
16.03.22	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTTLL
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
23.04.22	Ponte Preta - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	Operário Ferroviario - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
09.04.22	Ponte Preta - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.03.22	Ponte Preta - Ituano	2:2 ✺
12.03.22	Corinthians - Ponte Preta	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.08.21	Vasco da Gama - Ponte Preta	2:0
06.06.21	Ponte Preta - Vasco da Gama	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
03.12.17	Vasco da Gama - Ponte Preta	2:1
06.08.17	Ponte Preta - Vasco da Gama	0:0
09.09.15	Ponte Preta - Vasco da Gama	0:1
03.06.15	Vasco da Gama - Ponte Preta	0:3
Brazilian Serie B
25.10.14	Vasco da Gama - Ponte Preta	1:1

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