Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 4

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)

Referee: Guelho S. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Tondela		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.87	3.1	2.45
	2.58	3.05	2.78
	2.66	3.2	2.91
	2.77	2.99	2.72	Watch
	2.9	3	2.45	Watch
	2.74	3.14	2.69	Watch
	2.6	3	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.6)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.67 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tondela
34.5%

Draw
30.5%

Estoril Praia
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

30.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Tondela - Estoril Praia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Estoril will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tondela (votes: 1 - 50%). Estoril (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tondela (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tondela (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Estoril (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bernardo (G) 2. Bebeto (C) 4. Marques C. 20. Medina B. 48. Manso T. 32. Rodriguez J. 15. Sithole S. 60. Maviram E. 67. Yarlen 9. Miro 7. Pedro Maranhao	1. Robles J. (G) 44. Boma K. 25. Bacher F. 24. Amaral P. 22. Carvalho P. 7. Lominadze N. 10. Holsgrove J. 55. Parente T. 12. Carvalho J. (C) 19. Lacximicant A. 14. Begraoui Y.
Substitutes
5. Afonso J. 30. Canizares L. (G) 17. Cavaleiro I. 6. Ceitil A. 14. Huarte X. 70. Moudjatovic M. 11. Rodriguez Y. 8. Tavares H. 21. Vita R.	4. Ferro 17. Garcia F. 99. Guitane R. 18. Israelov O. 9. Marques A. 45. Patrick de Paula 21. Pizzi 2. Sanchez R. 16. Turk M. (G)
Coaches
Vieira I.	Cathro I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
26', Boma K. 🟨,
31', Bacher F. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Lacximicant A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', Pedro Maranhao ↓, Cavaleiro I. ↑,
58', Miro ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
60', Carvalho P. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
60', Parente T. ↓, Ferro ↑,
67', Lacximicant A. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
67', Lominadze N. ↓, Patrick de Paula ↑,
68', Amaral P. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Manso T. (Pen),
74', Begraoui Y. ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
74', Yarlen ↓, Huarte X. ↑,
74', Manso T. ↓, Ouattara M. ↑,
80', Sithole S. ↓, Tavares H. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Cavaleiro I. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Guitane R. ⚽, Carvalho J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 2.

Tondela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Estoril: Jandro (Inactive) Xeka (Injury)

There are questionable in Tondela: Cicero (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tondela
Liga Portugal
23.08.25	Benfica - Tondela	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Tondela - Famalicão	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Braga - Tondela	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.05.25	Leiria - Tondela	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Tondela - Alverca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
16.08.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Estoril Praia	3:2 ✺
11.08.25	Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Estoril Praia - Millwall	0:3 ✺
30.07.25	Estoril Praia - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese League Cup
19.11.22	Tondela - Estoril Praia	0:0
Liga Portugal
12.02.22	Estoril Praia - Tondela	1:0
Taça de Portugal
21.12.21	Tondela - Estoril Praia	3:1
Liga Portugal
13.09.21	Tondela - Estoril Praia	1:2
Taça de Portugal
21.10.18	Estoril Praia - Tondela	1:2 penalties
Liga Portugal
30.01.18	Estoril Praia - Tondela	3:0
19.08.17	Tondela - Estoril Praia	2:3

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