Match Info

League Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Macedo C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 2
Ecuador	DSports 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DSports 2
Venezuela	DSports 2


	Benfica		Tondela

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.14	7.4	16.5
	1.05	10.08	30.00	Watch
	1.17	6.7	14.4	Watch
	1.16	6.8	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.18)	7.75 ↑ (6.65)	18.73 ↑ (14.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
82.9%

Draw
12.1%

Tondela
5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.3%

14.1%

6.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Benfica - Tondela Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Soares S. (G) 8. Aursnes F. 4. Silva A. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 26. Dahl S. 18. Barreiro L. 5. Barrenechea E. 11. Lukebakio D. 10. Sudakov G. 21. Schjelderup A. 9. Ivanovic F.	30. Canizares L. (G) 48. Manso T. 5. Afonso J. 20. Medina B. 21. Vita R. 10. Hodge J. 8. Tavares H. (C) 19. Rodrigues A. 79. Felix H. 11. Rodriguez Y. 67. Yarlen
Substitutes
39. Araujo H. 44. Araujo T. 3. Obrador R. 14. Pavlidis V. 25. Prestianni G. 84. Rego J. 20. Rios R. 1. Trubin A. (G) 68. Veloso J.	2. Bebeto 6. Ceitil A. 4. Marques C. 60. Maviram E. 7. Pedro Maranhao 32. Rodriguez J. 16. Rony Lopes 29. Siebatcheu J. 1. Souza G. (G)
Coaches
Mourinho J.	Vieira I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Medina B. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Otamendi N. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Medina B. ↓, Marques C. ↑,
50', Vieira I. 🟨,
60', Manso T. 🟨,
62', Tavares H. ↓, Pedro Maranhao ↑,
62', Rodrigues A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
64', Ivanovic F. ↓, Pavlidis V. ↑,
64', Schjelderup A. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
72', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Siebatcheu J. ↑,
77', Sudakov G. ↓, Rios R. ↑,
78', Hodge J. ↓, Rony Lopes ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Lukebakio D. ⚽, Rios R. (A),
85', Lukebakio D. ↓, Rego J. ↑,
85', Aursnes F. ↓, Araujo T. ↑,
86', Rios R. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 0, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Barreiro L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Benfica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Benfica is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 38:8. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 2.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
25.10.25	Benfica - Arouca	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Newcastle United - Benfica	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
17.10.25	Chaves - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
05.10.25	Porto - Benfica	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Chelsea - Benfica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWTL
- CD Tondela
Liga Portugal
26.10.25	Tondela - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Vila Real - Tondela	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
08.10.25	Ferrol - Tondela	2:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
05.10.25	Rio Ave - Tondela	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Santa Clara - Tondela	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
23.08.25	Benfica - Tondela	3:0
07.02.22	Tondela - Benfica	1:3
29.08.21	Benfica - Tondela	2:1
30.04.21	Tondela - Benfica	0:2
08.01.21	Benfica - Tondela	2:0
04.06.20	Benfica - Tondela	0:0
27.10.19	Tondela - Benfica	0:1

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