Match Info

Serie A - Round 26

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
International	Starzplay Sports app


	Cagliari		Lazio

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.9	2.35	Watch
	3.45	2.92	2.38	Watch
	3.51	3.15	2.37
	3.47	2.99	2.35	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.25
	3.6	3.07	2.43
	3.4	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.19)	3 ↓ (3.26)	2.35 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cagliari
27.6%

Draw
31.8%

Lazio
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.8%

29.2%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

28.5%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	30.8%	51.3%

Cagliari - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 7 - 18.4%). Lazio will win (votes: 19 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 34.1% – 65.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Lazio (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Cagliari (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cagliari (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Lazio (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (G) 32. Pedro J. 26. Mina Y. (C) 22. Dossena A. 2. Palestra M. 25. Sulemana I. 8. Adopo M. 4. Mazzitelli L. 33. Obert A. 9. Kilicsoy S. 94. Esposito Se.	94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 25. Provstgaard O. 13. Romagnoli A. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 21. Belahyane R. 6. Rovella N. 24. Taylor K. 18. Isaksen G. 27. Maldini D. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)
Substitutes
20. Albarracin A. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 3. Idrissi R. 27. Liteta J. 31. Mendy P. 30. Pavoletti L. 18. Raterink O. 15. Rodriguez J. 12. Sherri A. (G) 37. Trepy Y. 28. Zappa G.	22. Cancellieri M. 32. Cataldi D. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 19. Dia B. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 23. Hysaj E. 40. Motta E. (G) 14. Noslin T. 4. Patric 28. Przyborek A. 20. Ratkov P. 17. Tavares N.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Sarri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Mina Y. 🟨,
42', Mazzitelli L. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
45+1', Pellegrini Lu. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Pedro J. 🟨,
60', Rovella N. ↓, Cataldi D. ↑,
60', Isaksen G. ↓, Cancellieri M. ↑,
64', Provstgaard O. 🟨,
72', Maldini D. ↓, Ratkov P. ↑,
72', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Tavares N. ↑,
73', Esposito Se. ↓, Trepy Y. ↑,
85', Zaccagni M. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
85', Mina Y. 🟨,
88', Kilicsoy S. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lazio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lazio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Borrelli G. (Thigh Injury) Deiola A. (Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Folorunsho M. (Knee Injury) Gaetano G. (Injury)

There will not play in Lazio: Basic T. (Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Gila M. (Knee Injury) Lazzari M. (Calf Injury) Pedro (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 15:45. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:21. (average 0.7:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lazio	7	6	1	0	14:4	10	19
7	Cagliari	7	4	1	2	6:7	-1	13

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Lazio: 1.96% Cagliari: 0.32%

Last Results with these Odds

Cagliari - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 29.82%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
16.02.26	Cagliari - Lecce	0:2 ✺
09.02.26	Roma - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cagliari - Verona	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Fiorentina - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Cagliari - Juventus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 LLWWW
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
14.02.26	Lazio - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.02.26	Bologna - Lazio	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
08.02.26	Juventus - Lazio	2:2 ✺
30.01.26	Lazio - Genoa	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Lecce - Lazio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
03.11.25	Lazio - Cagliari	2:0
03.02.25	Cagliari - Lazio	1:2
04.11.24	Lazio - Cagliari	2:1
10.02.24	Cagliari - Lazio	1:3
02.12.23	Lazio - Cagliari	1:0
05.03.22	Cagliari - Lazio	0:3
19.09.21	Lazio - Cagliari	2:2

Upcoming Matches