Match Info

RUSSIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 26

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Eduarda Strelcova (Moscow)

Referee: Turbin E. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport


	Torpedo Moscow		Akhmat Grozny

	1	X	2
	3.68	3.67	2.04
	3.62	3.62	1.99
	3.5	3.4	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (3.95)	3.56 ↓ (3.63)	2.02 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Moscow
26.4%

Draw
26.6%

Akhmat Grozny
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

25.8%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

25.1%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Torpedo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Torpedo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Akhmat will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 5).

Torpedo has the most likely position - 16 (96.76%), project points - 15, currently - 11, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of win league.

Akhmat has the most likely position - 5 (35.51%), project points - 47, currently - 40, not chance of relegated, not chance of win league.

This event has quality 34, very small importance 0, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Torpedo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Akhmat is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Akhmat will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Akhmat: Oleynikov I. (Injury) Satara M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Torpedo: Kutepov I. (Injury) Netfullin R. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Torpedo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Torpedo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Moscow
Russian Premier League
30.04.23	Sochi - Torpedo Moscow	3:1 ✺
22.04.23	Khimki - Torpedo Moscow	4:2 ✺
15.04.23	Torpedo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Torpedo Moscow - Fakel	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Rostov - Torpedo Moscow	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL
- FC Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League
29.04.23	Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow	1:3 ✺
23.04.23	Akhmat Grozny - Sochi	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Fakel - Akhmat Grozny	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Akhmat Grozny - Ural	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Spartak Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
23.10.22	Akhmat Grozny - Torpedo Moscow	1:0
13.04.15	Torpedo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	0:0
03.12.14	Akhmat Grozny - Torpedo Moscow	0:1

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