Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday

Location: Akhmat-Arena (Groznyj)

Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3


	Akhmat Grozny		Sochi

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.94	5.74
	1.6	4.17	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)	4.06 ↑ (3.83)	6.2 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akhmat Grozny
60.1%

Draw
24.1%

Sochi
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.7%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

24.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Akhmat Grozny - Sochi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Akhmat will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Akhmat (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Shelia G. (C) 81. Sidorov M. 90. Ndong O. 75. Ghandri N. 8. Bogosavac M. 11. Silva I. 42. Keliano M. 9. Mansilla B. 10. Zhemaletdinov R. 17. Cacintura E. 77. Melkadze G.	99. Dyupin Y. (G) 27. Zaika K. 33. Marcelo Alves (C) 3. Soldatenkov A. 28. Magal R. 20. Vasiljev D. 6. Saavedra I. 29. Ezhov R. 8. Ignatov M. 7. Zinkovskiy A. 98. Iljin V.
Substitutes
99. El Mahraoui A. 37. Gadio P. 70. Gadzhiev A. 32. Gaibov I. 72. Magomedov Y. (G) 7. Sadulaev L. 20. Samorodov M. 55. Todorovic D. 1. Ulyanov V. (G) 40. Utsiev R. 71. Yakuev M. 22. Zare M.	5. Aberdin N. 15. Agbalaka S. 25. Attiyat Allah Y. 59. Bart R. 35. Degtev A. (G) 9. Fedorov Z. 45. Kamano F. 18. Korneev A. 19. Kovalenko A. 4. Litvinov V. 88. Lomaev I. (G) 44. Stojic N.
Coaches
Cherchesov S.	Osinkin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Saavedra I. ⚽, Zinkovskiy A. (A),
36', 0 - 2, Ignatov M. ⚽, Iljin V. (A),
41', Magal R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Zhemaletdinov R. ↓, Samorodov M. ↑,
46', Mansilla B. ↓, Sadulaev L. ↑,
59', 1 - 2, Samorodov M. ⚽,
66', 1 - 3, Ignatov M. ⚽,
72', Keliano M. ↓, El Mahraoui A. ↑,
76', Sidorov M. 🟨,
76', 1 - 4, Vasiljev D. ⚽, Magal R. (A),
82', Vasiljev D. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
83', Ezhov R. ↓, Kamano F. ↑,
85', Ignatov M. ↓, Stojic N. ↑,
90', Marcelo Alves 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 4, Samorodov M. ⚽, Cacintura E. (A),
90+2', Zinkovskiy A. ↓, Korneev A. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 3.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Akhmat is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Sochi: Meleshin P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sochi: Ezhov R. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Akhmat Grozny
Russian Cup
22.10.25	Rubin Kazan - Akhmat Grozny	4:3 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
19.10.25	Dynamo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
30.09.25	Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
27.09.25	Akhmat Grozny - Akron Tolyatti	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLLW
- FC Sochi
Russian Cup
23.10.25	Krasnodar - Sochi	3:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
19.10.25	Sochi - Zenit	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Sochi - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
01.10.25	Krylya Sovetov - Sochi	4:3 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
28.09.25	Dynamo Makhachkala - Sochi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
25.04.24	Akhmat Grozny - Sochi	1:0
06.08.23	Sochi - Akhmat Grozny	1:2
23.04.23	Akhmat Grozny - Sochi	1:0
30.07.22	Sochi - Akhmat Grozny	2:1
23.04.22	Sochi - Akhmat Grozny	3:2
02.08.21	Akhmat Grozny - Sochi	1:2
07.12.20	Sochi - Akhmat Grozny	2:0

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