The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torquay United 28.8%
Draw 27.1%
Aldershot Town 44.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.6%
26.5%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.4%
26%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torquay United's form might have worsened.
Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aldershot Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+17.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torquay United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aldershot Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
12.5%
70.8%
Torquay United - Aldershot Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Torquay will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Aldershot will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Aldershot: 52.6% – 89%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Torquay won 4.
Recent matches Torquay is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Aldershot is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Torquay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Aldershot have a series of guest games.
Aldershot will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Torquay won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Torquay won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-8.
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