Match Info

National League - Round 16

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Attis Arena (Scunthorpe)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Scunthorpe United		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	5.25
	1.58	4.15	4.75
	1.66	4.34	4.38
	1.57	4.00	5.29	Watch
	1.59	3.95	5.32
	1.53	4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.56)	4.06 ↑ (3.97)	4.97 ↓ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
58.5%

Draw
22.8%

Aldershot Town
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

23.3%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

22.7%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Scunthorpe United - Aldershot Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Watson R. (G) 23. Chadwick B. 6. Boyce A. (C) 3. Horton B. 21. Starbuck J. 33. Denton T. 10. Roberts C. 11. Rowley J. 17. Ewing O. 25. Westbrooke Z. 9. Whitehall D.	1. Dewhurst M. (G) 5. Jackson B. 11. Jones R. 18. Rai K. 7. Hargreaves C. 23. Ghandour H. 14. Gilligan C. 19. Hill R. 28. Taylor A. 36. Armitage W. 30. Abrahams T.
Substitutes
19. Beck M. 18. Brogan M. 22. Dawson J. 15. Eze D. 7. Howe D. 20. Scales K. 14. Ubaezuonu C.	12. Anderson K. 32. Clarridge J. 8. Frost T. 24. Mullins M. 16. Nash P. (G) 27. Nelson T. 9. Thomas K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Ghandour H. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Roberts C. ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Westbrooke Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jackson B. 🟨,
60', Roberts C. ↓, Howe D. ↑,
60', Whitehall D. ↓, Dawson J. ↑,
69', Ghandour H. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
69', Chadwick B. ↓, Ubaezuonu C. ↑,
70', Westbrooke Z. ↓, Scales K. ↑,
79', Hargreaves C. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
79', Jones R. ↓, Nelson T. ↑,
83', Gilligan C. 🟨,
83', Boyce A. 🟨,
85', Armitage W. 🟨,
86', Abrahams T. ↓, Frost T. ↑,
86', Taylor A. ↓, Mullins M. ↑,
90+5', Scales K. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 19).

Scunthorpe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aldershot's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Scunthorpe is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Scunthorpe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Scunthorpe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English National League
21.10.25	Eastleigh - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Boston United - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Scunthorpe United - King`s Lynn Town	4:2 ✺
English National League
07.10.25	Scunthorpe United - Morecambe	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Scunthorpe United - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTWWL
- Aldershot Town
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Aldershot Town - Southampton U21	3:4 penalties ✺
English National League
18.10.25	Aldershot Town - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Dorking Wanderers - Aldershot Town	2:3 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Southend United - Aldershot Town	3:0 ✺
30.09.25	Aldershot Town - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
15.04.23	Aldershot Town - Scunthorpe United	2:1
08.10.22	Scunthorpe United - Aldershot Town	3:3

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