Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 19

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay) 🌤️ ...


	Torquay United		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.55
	4.33	3.9	1.58
	4.4	4.25	1.6
	4.5	4.1	1.61
	4.73	4.42	1.64
	5.5	4	1.5
	4.8	4.3	1.59
	4.6	4.1	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↓ (5.02)	4.13 ↑ (4.03)	1.59 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
19.4%

Draw
22.4%

Chesterfield
58.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.1%

22.5%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

22.3%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Torquay United - Chesterfield Predictions

Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torquay won 3.

Recent matches Torquay is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chesterfield in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Torquay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Chesterfield have a series of home games.

In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Torquay won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Torquay won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League
09.11.22	Torquay United - Dorking Wanderers	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
06.11.22	Torquay United - Derby County	2:2 ✺
English National League
01.11.22	Torquay United - Aldershot Town	6:1 ✺
29.10.22	Notts County - Torquay United	4:0 ✺
25.10.22	Eastleigh - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTWLL
- Chesterfield
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Chesterfield - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
English National League
01.11.22	Chesterfield - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
29.10.22	Chesterfield - Boreham Wood	2:0 ✺
25.10.22	York City - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Chesterfield - Bromley	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
07.05.22	Torquay United - Chesterfield	2:0
25.09.21	Chesterfield - Torquay United	2:2
03.05.21	Chesterfield - Torquay United	0:2
13.10.20	Torquay United - Chesterfield	2:1
21.12.19	Torquay United - Chesterfield	0:3
14.09.19	Chesterfield - Torquay United	1:0
English League Two
15.02.14	Chesterfield - Torquay United	3:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League South
31.10.26	Walton & Hersham - Torquay United	✺
- Chesterfield
English League Two
30.10.26	Newport County - Chesterfield	✺

Torquay United - Chesterfield