The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torquay United 19.4%
Draw 22.4%
Chesterfield 58.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.1%
22.5%
59.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.9%
22.3%
60%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torquay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
0%
83.3%
Torquay United - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
Chesterfield will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Torquay won 3.
Recent matches Torquay is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Chesterfield in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Torquay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Chesterfield have a series of home games.
In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Torquay won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Torquay won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.