Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 46

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay)


	Torquay United		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.75	3.7
	1.78	4	3.75
	1.75	4.05	4.01
	1.76	4.06	4.02
	1.8	3.8	3.4
	1.73	3.99	3.99
	1.78	4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)	3.95 ↑ (3.75)	3.8 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
52.4%

Draw
23.3%

Havant & Waterlooville
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

24.7%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

24.2%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Havant & Waterlooville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Torquay United - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Ash B. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Booth A. ⚽,
29', 3 - 0, Jenkins-Davies W. ⚽,
44', 4 - 0, Jenkins-Davies W. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 5 - 0, Jude-Boyd A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Torquay is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Havant is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Havant could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Torquay have a series of guest games.

Recently Havant have a series of home games.

In this match Torquay is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Torquay won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Torquay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League South
16.04.24	Taunton Town - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Bath City - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
08.04.24	Truro City - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Welling United - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Torquay United - Weston-super-Mare	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLT
- Havant & Waterlooville
English National League South
13.04.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Braintree Town	1:2 ✺
10.04.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Welling United	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Dartford	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Aveley - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Worthing	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
11.11.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Torquay United	0:2
English FA Cup
20.10.21	Havant & Waterlooville - Torquay United	4:2
16.10.21	Torquay United - Havant & Waterlooville	2:2

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