Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 12

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Torreense		Chaves

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.9	Watch
	2.28	3.15	3.05
	2.45	3.23	3.13
	2.29	3.14	3.17	Watch
	2.46	3.15	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.29)	3.15 ↑ (3.14)	3.04 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
39.9%

Draw
29.6%

Chaves
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.7%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.2%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Torreense - Chaves Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Paes (G) 22. David Bruno 93. Mohamed D. 4. Casas A. 23. Vazquez J. 26. Simoes A. 65. Guilherme Liberato 2. Stopira (C) 11. Pozo M. 9. Zohi K. 7. Jean D.	23. Gudzulic M. (G) 4. Bruno Rodrigues 34. Alves R. (C) 22. Muscat Z. 19. Tiago Almeida 8. Pinho P. 97. Joao Teixeira 30. Kusso D. 21. Wellington Carvalho 9. Milovanovic U. 77. Reinaldo
Substitutes
77. Afonso Peixoto 46. Agbor B. 99. Arielson 10. Costinha 57. Danilo 17. Jaiteh M. 13. Perez U. (G) 20. Pite 31. Seydi I.	44. Bikoro F. 15. Carraca 27. Esajas R. 5. Kiko 20. Ktatau 18. Pereira H. 17. Roberto 33. Simoes T. 1. Vozinha (G)
Coaches
Martins V.	Martins F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Stopira 🟥,
19', Milovanovic U. (Pen),
21', Mohamed D. 🟨,
21', Pinho P. 🟨,
24', Zohi K. ↓, Pite ↑,
45+2', 0 - 1, Reinaldo (Pen),
45+6', Joao Teixeira 🟨,
45+9', Simoes A. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pinho P. ↓, Ktatau ↑,
54', Ktatau 🟨,
64', David Bruno ↓, Seydi I. ↑,
64', Jean D. ↓, Arielson ↑,
65', Muscat Z. 🟨,
68', Milovanovic U. ↓, Roberto ↑,
68', Wellington Carvalho ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
68', Joao Teixeira ↓, Bikoro F. ↑,
76', 🟨,
79', Kusso D. ↓, Kiko ↑,
79', Pozo M. ↓, Jaiteh M. ↑,
79', Guilherme Liberato ↓, Agbor B. ↑,
86', Kiko 🟨,
88', 0 - 2, Roberto ⚽,
90+1', Bikoro F. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 7).

Torreense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chaves's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chaves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Torreense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Torreense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Torreense - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.79%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Taça de Portugal
23.11.25	Lusitânia - Torreense	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
09.11.25	Leixões - Torreense	1:0 ✺
04.11.25	Torreense - Felgueiras	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Portimonense - Torreense	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Torreense - Oliveirense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWW
- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
23.11.25	Chaves - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Leixões - Chaves	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Chaves - Porto B	0:1 ✺
03.11.25	Leiria - Chaves	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Académico de Viseu - Chaves	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
23.02.25	Torreense - Chaves	1:2
28.09.24	Chaves - Torreense	2:1
Taça de Portugal
14.12.16	Torreense - Chaves	2:3

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