Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 27

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Referee: Godinho L. (Por)


	Torreense		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	4.75
	1.65	3.3	4.8
	1.66	3.45	4.9
	1.71	3.71	5.42
	1.63	3.4	5
	1.67	3.46	5.35
	1.65	3.55	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.88)	3.5 ↑ (3.32)	4.99 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
55.4%

Draw
26.2%

Covilhã
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

28.1%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

27.6%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torreense's performance.

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Torreense - Covilhã Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Torreense will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Covilhã will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torreense: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Torreense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Torreense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
02.04.23	BSAD - Torreense	1:3 ✺
18.03.23	Estrela da Amadora - Torreense	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Torreense - Porto B	3:0 ✺
04.03.23	Tondela - Torreense	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Torreense - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWTL
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
02.04.23	Covilhã - Estrela da Amadora	0:2 ✺
19.03.23	Académico de Viseu - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Covilhã - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Nacional - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Covilhã - Farense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
22.10.22	Covilhã - Torreense	0:3

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