Match Info

PORTUGAL: LEAGUE CUP - ROUND 3

Date: 2 December 2022, Friday

Location: Estádio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Torreense		Famalicão

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.5	1.73
	4.85	3.5	1.72
	4.4	3.3	1.75
	4.94	3.28	1.85
	4.6	3.2	1.75
	4.65	3.28	1.82	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (3.75)	3.35 ↑ (3.29)	1.77 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
19.9%

Draw
27.7%

Famalicão
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

27.7%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

24.7%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torreense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Famalicão, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Torreense - Famalicão Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Torreense will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Famalicão will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Torreense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Famalicão is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torreense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Famalicão is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Portuguese League Cup
24.11.22	Tondela - Torreense	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Torreense - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.11.22	Torreense - Vilafranquense	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Leixões - Torreense	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Torreense - Mafra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTLLL
- FC Famalicão
Portuguese League Cup
26.11.22	Famalicão - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
13.11.22	Famalicão - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.11.22	Famalicão - Dumiense	4:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.11.22	Marítimo - Famalicão	0:0 ✺
31.10.22	Vitoria Guimarães - Famalicão	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLWTL

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