Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV6


	Torreense		Marítimo

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.35
	2.98	3.05	2.38
	3.28	3.09	2.49
	2.99	3.11	2.45
	2.75	3	2.4
	2.83	3.24	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.69)	3.1 ↑ (2.85)	2.42 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
31.8%

Draw
29.9%

Marítimo
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

32.7%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

33.5%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marítimo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marítimo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Torreense - Marítimo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Paes (G) 22. David Bruno 2. Stopira 93. Mohamed D. 23. Vazquez J. 26. Simoes A. 6. Leo Silva 8. Alfaro A. 29. Quintero L. 9. Zohi K. 7. Jean D.	12. Samu (G) 2. Igor Juliao 44. Correia R. 5. Madsen N. 23. Henrique P. 18. Danilovic V. 14. Raphael Guzzo 21. Bouzaidi S. 28. Carlos Daniel 10. Tejon M. 3. Butzke A.
Substitutes
46. Agbor B. 47. Baradji A. 4. Casas A. 57. Danilo 17. Drammeh M. 65. Guilherme Liberato 70. Marques R. 13. Perez U. (G) 31. Seydi I.	8. Cruz M. 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 25. Freitas A. 20. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 98. Ibrahima 9. Melro J. 1. Pastor A. (G) 7. Pena Zauner E. 17. Xavi Grande
Coaches
Tralhao L.	Moita M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Vazquez J. 🟨,
45', Alfaro A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', David Bruno 🟨,
66', Danilovic V. ↓, Ibrahima ↑,
68', Quintero L. ↓, Seydi I. ↑,
68', Simoes A. ↓, Guilherme Liberato ↑,
68', Zohi K. ↓, Drammeh M. ↑,
77', Henrique P. ↓, Freitas A. ↑,
77', Tejon M. ↓, Pena Zauner E. ↑,
80', Seydi I. 🟨,
80', Raphael Guzzo 🟨,
84', Igor Juliao ↓, Xavi Grande ↑,
84', Carlos Daniel ↓, Cruz M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Jean D. ⚽,
90+1', Alfaro A. ↓, Marques R. ↑,
90+4', Jean D. ↓, Agbor B. ↑,
90+7', Cruz M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Torreense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marítimo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Torreense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	7:9	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Marítimo - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.62%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
11.04.26	Chaves - Torreense	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Torreense - Leixões	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Felgueiras - Torreense	0:3 ✺
16.03.26	Torreense - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Oliveirense - Torreense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWWW
- CS Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2
12.04.26	Marítimo - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Paços de Ferreira - Marítimo	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Marítimo - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Leiria - Marítimo	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Marítimo - Porto B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
06.12.25	Marítimo - Torreense	2:0
26.04.25	Torreense - Marítimo	2:2
15.12.24	Marítimo - Torreense	0:3
07.04.24	Torreense - Marítimo	0:0
19.11.23	Marítimo - Torreense	1:2

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