Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Play Offs - Final

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday


	Totton		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.1
	1.65	3.9	4.2
	1.69	3.92	4.38
	1.7	3.98	4.42
	1.64	3.92	4.26
	1.65	3.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.69)	3.92 ↓ (3.99)	4.26 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Totton
55.2%

Draw
23.3%

Gloucester City
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

22.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

21.5%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Totton - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, Taylor E. ⚽,

Preview

Totton is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gloucester is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Totton is the team to beat.

We predict that Totton will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Totton won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Totton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Totton - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.15%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Totton
English Southern League South Division
30.04.25	Totton - Dorchester Town	4:3 ET ✺
26.04.25	Frome Town - Totton	0:4 ✺
21.04.25	Totton - Winchester City	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Basingstoke Town - Totton	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Totton - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWTW
- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
30.04.25	Walton & Hersham - Gloucester City	2:3 penalties ✺
26.04.25	Gloucester City - Gosport Borough	2:2 ✺
21.04.25	Swindon Supermarine - Gloucester City	1:3 ✺
18.04.25	Gloucester City - Marlow	7:0 ✺
12.04.25	Chertsey Town - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
01.02.25	Gloucester City - Totton	0:0
19.10.24	Totton - Gloucester City	1:1

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