Match Info

Date: 7 March 2022, Monday


	Toulouse		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	15	Watch
	1.23	5.75	13.5
	1.23	5.5	13	Watch
	1.2	5.6	13
	1.24	5.82	15.08
	1.2	5.5	15	Watch
	1.24	5.8	14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.47)	5.64 ↑ (3.72)	14.08 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: BEIXE

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Toulouse
76.6%

Draw
16.7%

Dunkerque
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

24.4%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

14.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toulouse's performance.

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dunkerque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-40.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toulouse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dunkerque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.1%	6.3%	9.5%

Toulouse - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: Toulouse will win (53 of 63 users predict this - 84.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.11% – 93.15%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Toulouse has the most likely position - 1 (82.81%), has project points - 79, has currently - 54, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of promoted (96%), has a good chance of win league (83%).

Dunkerque has the most likely position - 19 (26.25%), has project points - 39, has currently - 27, has a chance of relegated (41%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 64, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Toulouse is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dunkerque is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Toulouse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Toulouse is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 2
28.02.22	Grenoble - Toulouse	0:2 ✺
21.02.22	Toulouse - Le Havre	4:0 ✺
12.02.22	Valenciennes - Toulouse	1:3 ✺
05.02.22	Toulouse - Dijon	4:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.01.22	Toulouse - Versailles	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWL
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
26.02.22	Dunkerque - Dijon	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	Nancy - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Dunkerque - Rodez	2:0 ✺
05.02.22	Nîmes - Dunkerque	0:1 ✺
01.02.22	Niort - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
21.09.21	Dunkerque - Toulouse	0:2
15.05.21	Dunkerque - Toulouse	3:3
22.08.20	Toulouse - Dunkerque	0:1

Upcoming Matches