Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Belgium	21:00	RTBF
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Canal 11
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Toulouse		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.75
	2.5	3.5	2.65
	2.52	3.6	2.75	Watch
	2.57	3.6	2.74
	2.57	3.59	2.73
	2.38	3.7	2.6
	2.52	3.62	2.7
	2.6	3.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.12)	3.56 ↓ (3.64)	2.7 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
37.8%

Draw
26.8%

Saint-Gilloise
35.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

26.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toulouse's form might have worsened.

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Gilloise's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toulouse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	6.7%	26.7%

Toulouse - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 30 - 66.7%). Union SG will win (votes: 12 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 52.9% – 80.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Restes G. (G) 3. Desler M. 6. Costa L. 2. Nicolaisen R. 23. Diarra M. 15. Donnum A. 24. Casseres C. 8. Sierro V. (C) 17. Suazo G. 9. Dallinga T. 20. Schmidt N.	49. Moris A. (C) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. 28. Machida K. 21. Castro-Montes A. 24. Vanhoutte C. 4. Rasmussen M. 10. Lapoussin L. 13. Rodriguez K. 47. Amoura M. 23. Puertas C.
Substitutes
14. Begraoui Y. 10. Cissoko I. 30. Dominguez A. (G) 11. Gelabert Pina C. 5. Genreau D. 12. Kamanzi W. 25. Keben K. 40. Lacombe J. (G) 19. Magri F. 13. Mawissa Elebi C.	8. Amani L. 9. Eckert Ayensa D. 35. Huygevelde N. 14. Imbrechts J. (G) 48. Leysen F. 29. Nilsson G. 27. Sadiki N. 26. Sykes R. 11. Teklab H. 17. Terho C. 34. Wenssens M. (G)
Coaches
Martinez C.	Blessin A.

Preview

Toulouse is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Union SG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Toulouse: Aboukhlal Z. (Knee Injury) Skytta N. (Injury) Zanden O. (Surgery)

There will not play in Union SG: Kabangu E. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
26.11.23	Nice - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Lille - Toulouse	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.11.23	Toulouse - Liverpool	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
05.11.23	Toulouse - Le Havre	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Montpellier - Toulouse	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LTWLL
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.11.23	Gent - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Saint-Gilloise - Kortrijk	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.11.23	LASK Linz - Saint-Gilloise	3:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.11.23	Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
01.11.23	Saint-Gilloise - Meux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	Saint-Gilloise - Toulouse	1:1

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