Match Info

Date: 20 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Prenton Park (Birkenhead)


	Tranmere Rovers		Bolton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	1.85
	3.45	3.4	1.93
	3.35	3.5	1.95
	3.64	3.62	1.95
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	3.54	3.58	1.88
	3.35	3.5	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.7)	3.46 ↑ (3.1)	1.97 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tranmere Rovers
27.2%

Draw
26.4%

Bolton Wanderers
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.1%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

30.4%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tranmere Rovers's form might have worsened.

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolton Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tranmere Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	21.1%	68.4%

Tranmere Rovers - Bolton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Bolton will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 3.

Recent matches Tranmere is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bolton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bolton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Tranmere won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
17.09.22	Salford City - Tranmere Rovers	0:1 ✺
13.09.22	Tranmere Rovers - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
03.09.22	Leyton Orient - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Tranmere Rovers - Colchester United	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
24.08.22	Tranmere Rovers - Newcastle United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLWL
- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
17.09.22	Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United	1:0 ✺
13.09.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
03.09.22	Bolton Wanderers - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Bolton Wanderers - Crewe Alexandra	4:1 ✺
English League One
27.08.22	Plymouth Argyle - Bolton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
23.01.21	Tranmere Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	2:1
19.12.20	Bolton Wanderers - Tranmere Rovers	0:3
English League One
01.02.20	Bolton Wanderers - Tranmere Rovers	2:0
17.08.19	Tranmere Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	5:0
Club Friendly
19.07.16	Tranmere Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	1:2
25.07.14	Tranmere Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	1:1
English League Cup
27.08.13	Tranmere Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	2:1 penalties

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