Match Info

League One - Round 41

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Plymouth Argyle		Bolton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.7	2.85	Watch
	2.18	3.7	2.92	Watch
	2.25	3.97	2.92
	2.26	3.79	2.79	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.75
	2.2	3.7	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.48)	3.74 ↑ (3.58)	2.86 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
42.3%

Draw
25%

Bolton Wanderers
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.1%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

25.3%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	25%	6.2%

Plymouth Argyle - Bolton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Bolton will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hazard C. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 2. Ross M. 15. Mitchell A. 3. MacKenzie J. 28. Curtis R. 19. Boateng M. 20. Kane H. 35. Dale O. 18. Oseni O. 27. Pepple A.	1. Bonham J. (G) 14. Osei-Tutu J. 18. Toal E. (C) 6. Johnston G. 25. Conway M. 27. Rodrigues R. 8. Sheehan J. 45. McAtee J. 9. Kenny J. 11. Gale T. 10. Dalby S.
Substitutes
10. Amaechi X. 21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 22. Galloway B. 45. Harding W. 7. Paterson J. 9. Tolaj L. 17. Watts C.	15. Apter R. 48. Burstow M. 29. Christie C. 20. Cissoko I. 3. Forino-Joseph C. 23. Harrington D. (G) 54. Ritchie T.
Coaches
Cleverley T.	Schumacher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Sheehan J. 🟨,
43', McAtee J. 🟥,
45+2', Rodrigues R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gale T. ↓, Forino-Joseph C. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Kenny J. (Penalty Awarded),
57', 1 - 1, Curtis R. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
58', Oseni O. ↓, Tolaj L. ↑,
59', MacKenzie J. ↓, Harding W. ↑,
64', Rodrigues R. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
64', Kenny J. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Boateng M. (Own goal),
71', Dale O. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
80', Edwards J. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 2.

Plymouth is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bolton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Plymouth: Finn T. (Hamstring Injury) Ibrahim B. (Ankle Injury) Pleguezuelo J. (Calf Injury) Ralls J. (Hamstring Injury) Sorinola M. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Bolton: Blackett-Taylor C. (Thigh Injury) Forss M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Plymouth: Tolaj L. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Bolton: Cozier-Duberry A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Plymouth	10	6	1	3	18:12	6	19

Last Results with these Odds

Plymouth Argyle - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.63%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League One
21.03.26	Plymouth Argyle - Huddersfield Town	3:1 ✺
17.03.26	Plymouth Argyle - Stevenage Borough	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Reading - Plymouth Argyle	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Wigan Athletic - Plymouth Argyle	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	Plymouth Argyle - Doncaster Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWTWW
- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
21.03.26	Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Bolton Wanderers - Doncaster Rovers	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Bolton Wanderers - Wycombe Wanderers	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Exeter City - Bolton Wanderers	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
09.08.25	Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle	2:0
English EFL Trophy
02.04.23	Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle	4:0
English League One
07.01.23	Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle	0:0
27.08.22	Plymouth Argyle - Bolton Wanderers	2:0
12.03.22	Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle	0:1
19.10.21	Plymouth Argyle - Bolton Wanderers	3:0
English FA Cup
09.11.19	Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle	0:1

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