Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 26

Date: 21 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton)

Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Bolton Wanderers		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.15	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.23	3.57	3.32
	2.13	3.46	3.27	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.25
	2.17	3.55	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.13)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	3.22 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
43.5%

Draw
27.2%

Charlton Athletic
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

27.4%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.2%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	21.1%	5.3%

Bolton Wanderers - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Charlton will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Southwood L. (G) 14. Osei-Tutu J. 12. Dacres-Cogley J. 15. Forrester W. 6. Johnston G. 23. Schon S. 16. Morley A. 8. Sheehan J. 4. Thomason G. (C) 31. Randall J. 19. Collins A.	21. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 4. Mitchell A. 5. Jones L. 3. Gillesphey M. 16. Edwards J. 6. Coventry C. 10. Docherty G. (C) 26. Small T. 8. Berry L. 7. Campbell T. 11. Leaburn M.
Substitutes
9. Adeboyejo V. 1. Baxter N. (G) 2. Jones G. 17. Lolos K. 28. Matete J. 45. McAtee J. 37. Murphy A.	18. Anderson K. 22. Aneke Ch. 28. Campbell A. 23. Edmonds-Green R. 24. Godden M. 29. Kanu D. 25. Mannion W. (G)
Coaches
Evatt I.	Jones N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Mitchell A. 🟨,
34', Docherty G. 🟨,
45+5', Thomason G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 0, Randall J. ⚽, Collins A. (A),
59', Mitchell A. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
68', Berry L. ↓, Godden M. ↑,
69', Leaburn M. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
69', Edwards J. ↓, Edmonds-Green R. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Jones L. ⚽, Gillesphey M. (A),
74', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨,
74', Small T. 🟨,
82', Sheehan J. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Anderson K. ⚽,
89', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Adeboyejo V. ↑,
89', Morley A. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
90', Thomason G. ↓, Lolos K. ↑,
90+4', Anderson K. 🟨,
90+5', Matete J. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Bolton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bolton have a series of guest games.

Bolton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Bolton won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29:23 (average 1.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
18.01.25	Bolton Wanderers - Cambridge United	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.01.25	Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English League One
11.01.25	Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers	3:1 ✺
04.01.25	Exeter City - Bolton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
01.01.25	Mansfield Town - Bolton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLWL
- Charlton Athletic
English League One
18.01.25	Rotherham United - Charlton Athletic	4:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.01.25	Preston North End - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
English League One
04.01.25	Charlton Athletic - Reading	0:0 ✺
29.12.24	Charlton Athletic - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Charlton Athletic - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
24.08.24	Charlton Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	2:0
17.02.24	Bolton Wanderers - Charlton Athletic	3:3
28.10.23	Charlton Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	0:2
28.01.23	Charlton Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	1:2
03.09.22	Bolton Wanderers - Charlton Athletic	3:1
08.02.22	Bolton Wanderers - Charlton Athletic	2:1
28.09.21	Charlton Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	1:4

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