The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tranmere Rovers 27%
Draw 30%
Exeter City 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.2%
30.8%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
31.7%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tranmere Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Exeter City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tranmere Rovers - Exeter City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Tranmere has the most likely position - 11 (30.67%), has project points - 72, has currently - 66, has not chance of relegated, has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has not chance of win league.
Exeter has the most likely position - 2 (45.05%), has project points - 85, has currently - 77, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very good chance of promoted (98%), has a chance of win league (36%).
This event has small quality12, importance65, match rating39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 4.
Recent matches Tranmere is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Exeter is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Exeter will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Tranmere won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.
Watch
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