Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 18

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Sutton United		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.25
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.15	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.53	3.3
	2.23	3.53	3.3
	2.1	3.5	3.1
	2.13	3.54	3.22	Watch
	2.17	3.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.09)	3.49 ↓ (3.68)	3.2 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
43.4%

Draw
27.1%

Tranmere Rovers
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

25.2%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

24.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Sutton United - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Sutton United will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Bouzanis D. (G) 22. Kizzi J. 6. John L. 5. Goodliffe B. 23. Jackson R. 7. Coley J. 26. Gape D. 8. N'Guessan C. 10. Beautyman H. (C) 9. Smith H. 40. O'Brien A.	1. McGee L. (G) 2. O'Connor L. 5. Davies T. (C) 6. Turnbull J. 27. Wood C. 25. Apter R. 4. Walker B. 8. Hendry R. 18. Jennings C. 7. Morris K. 14. Dennis K.
Substitutes
33. Angol L. 16. Clay C. 14. Dundas C. 19. Fadahunsi T. 11. Patrick O. 1. Rose J. (G) 4. Sowunmi O.	30. Belehouan J. 3. Leake J. 23. McAlear R. 24. Pike D. 29. Robson C. (G) 19. Saunders H. 20. Taylor S.
Coaches
Gray M.	Adkins N.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 22).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sutton won 1.

Recent matches Sutton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tranmere is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tranmere could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sutton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sutton won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
11.11.23	Colchester United - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Sutton United - Fylde	2:1 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Sutton United - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Wrexham - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Sutton United - Morecambe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWLL
- Tranmere Rovers
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Tranmere Rovers - Wigan Athletic	0:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Tranmere Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Stevenage Borough - Tranmere Rovers	4:3 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Stockport County - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Morecambe - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.01.23	Tranmere Rovers - Sutton United	2:2
08.10.22	Sutton United - Tranmere Rovers	0:2
19.03.22	Sutton United - Tranmere Rovers	1:1
13.11.21	Tranmere Rovers - Sutton United	0:1
English National League
23.12.17	Sutton United - Tranmere Rovers	1:3
12.08.17	Tranmere Rovers - Sutton United	0:1
04.04.17	Tranmere Rovers - Sutton United	3:2

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