Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 25

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Prenton Park (Birkenhead)

Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)


	Tranmere Rovers		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.2
	2.2	3.3	3.2
	2.1	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.14	3.45	3.24	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.25
	2.13	3.46	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.13)	3.43 ↑ (3.34)	3.25 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tranmere Rovers
43.7%

Draw
27.4%

Carlisle United
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

27.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Tranmere Rovers - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: Tranmere Rovers will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGee L. (G) 22. O'Connor L. 5. Davies T. (C) 6. Turnbull J. 2. Norman C. 17. Finley S. 7. Morris K. 3. Bradshaw Z. 19. Saunders H. 18. Jennings C. 30. Patrick O.	13. Breeze G. (G) 6. Hayden A. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 22. Mellish J. 24. Sadi D. 12. Biggins H. 3. Harper C. 40. Harris K. 43. Whelan C. 44. Embleton E. 29. Armstrong L.
Substitutes
10. Davison J. 14. Dennis K. 35. Drysdale D. 28. Khan S. 13. Murphy J. (G) 21. Solomon S. 23. Wood C.	14. Adu Adjei D. 26. Barclay B. 15. Charters T. 25. Dudik A. 18. Ellis J. 17. Neal H. 23. Smith J. (G)
Coaches
Adkins N.	Williamson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Norman C. ⚽, Morris K. (A),
38', Patrick O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Biggins H. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
58', Harper C. ↓, Adu Adjei D. ↑,
58', Davies T. 🟨,
63', Patrick O. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
74', Morris K. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
74', Saunders H. ↓, Khan S. ↑,
77', Hayden A. 🟨,
79', Embleton E. ↓, Dudik A. ↑,
90+3', Jennings C. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Tranmere could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tranmere will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20:23 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Tranmere won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:8 (average 0.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
01.01.25	Morecambe - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
29.12.24	Tranmere Rovers - Barrow	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Doncaster Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	Tranmere Rovers - Harrogate Town	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Rotherham United - Tranmere Rovers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLWL
- Carlisle United
English League Two
01.01.25	Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United	3:2 ✺
29.12.24	Carlisle United - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Carlisle United - Morecambe	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Port Vale - Carlisle United	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Carlisle United - Chesterfield	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
31.08.24	Carlisle United - Tranmere Rovers	1:2
07.04.23	Carlisle United - Tranmere Rovers	2:0
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Carlisle United - Tranmere Rovers	2:1
English League Two
29.10.22	Tranmere Rovers - Carlisle United	0:2
02.04.22	Tranmere Rovers - Carlisle United	2:2
16.10.21	Carlisle United - Tranmere Rovers	0:1
23.02.21	Carlisle United - Tranmere Rovers	2:3

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