The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tranmere Rovers 43.2%
Draw 28.7%
Harrogate Town 28.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.9%
26.2%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
25.3%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tranmere Rovers's form might have worsened.
Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harrogate Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tranmere Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.7%
14.3%
50%
Tranmere Rovers - Harrogate Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Harrogate will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 23.8% โ 76.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Harrogate (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Marosi M. (G) 28. Negru S. 5. Smith N. 30. McGowan A. 2. Norman C. 26. Plant J. 25. Warrington L. 3. Brough P. 7. Whitaker C. 29. Ironside J. (C) 11. Patrick O.
13. Gray H. (G) 16. Headman C. 31. Heffernan C. 30. Gibson L. 3. Slater J. 8. Morris B. 4. Evans J. (C) 21. Taylor E. 19. Hill T. 22. Smith R. 18. Muldoon J.
Substitutes
12. Barrett J. (G) 23. Bristow E. 31. Dickov M. 42. Kenneh N. 16. Lowe J. 32. Obiero Z. 17. Solomon S.
12. Acquah E. 38. Brenan T. 24. Cass L. 11. Duke-McKenna S. 23. Sutton E. 17. Sutton L. 33. Waller S. (G)
Coaches
Wild P.
Weaver S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Smith R. ⚽, Gibson L. (A),
11', 0 - 2, Headman C. ⚽, Evans J. (A),
39', 0 - 3, Headman C. ⚽, Hill T. (A),
45', Norman C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Norman C. ↓, Obiero Z. ↑,
46', Warrington L. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
50', Whitaker C. 🟨,
59', Hill T. 🟨,
60', Patrick O. ↓, Solomon S. ↑,
66', Hill T. ↓, Brenan T. ↑,
66', Plant J. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
79', Kenneh N. 🟨,
80', Evans J. ↓, Sutton L. ↑,
80', Muldoon J. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
84', Smith R. ↓, Sutton E. ↑,
84', Taylor E. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 4.
Tranmere is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Harrogate has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Tranmere may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tranmere has had a series of away games.
Tranmere might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Inactive)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
Murphy J.
(Inactive)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Tamen W.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Harrogate: Fox B.
(Inactive)
Marsh A.
(Inactive)
McCoulsky S.
(Inactive)
Oxley M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Tranmere: Bristow E.
(Inactive)
Dennis K.
(Inactive)
Joseph J.
(Inactive)
Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Tranmere
13
3
7
3
16:16
0
16
Outrights of English League Two for now
Tranmere: 1.91%
Last Results with these Odds
Harrogate Town - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 22.91%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.