Match Info

League Two - Round 36

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadium MK (Milton Keynes)

Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)


	Milton Keynes Dons		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.33	8
	1.37	4.45	8.8
	1.39	4.92	7.87
	1.42	4.2	7.9	Watch
	1.36	4.5	7
	1.36	4.75	7.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 (1.38)	4.53 ↓ (4.61)	7.9 ↑ (7.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milton Keynes Dons
67.7%

Draw
20.6%

Harrogate Town
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

20.1%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

19.2%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Milton Keynes Dons - Harrogate Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. MacGillivray C. (G) 21. Ekpiteta M. 32. Sanders J. 15. Offord L. 16. Nemane A. 26. Wiles B. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 7. Crowley D. 22. Mellish J. 10. Collins A. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R.	13. Gray H. (G) 16. Headman C. 31. Heffernan C. 30. Gibson L. 3. Slater J. 8. Morris B. 4. Evans J. (C) 11. Duke-McKenna S. 38. Brenan T. 22. Smith R. 12. Acquah E.
Substitutes
9. Hogan S. 2. Jones G. 6. Kelly L. 17. Leko J. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 14. Tomlinson J. 27. Trueman C. (G)	10. Bennett M. 6. Burrell W. 20. Faulkner B. 26. Horton G. 17. Sutton L. 7. Thomson G. 33. Waller S. (G)
Coaches
Warne P.	Weaver S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Brenan T. ⚽,
26', Sanders J. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽,
45+5', 2 - 1, Offord L. ⚽, Crowley D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
51', 3 - 1, Collins A. ⚽, Nemane A. (A),
60', Nemane A. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
60', Crowley D. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
63', 4 - 1, Wiles B. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
67', Gibson L. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
67', Acquah E. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
70', Gray H. ↓, Waller S. ↑,
73', Offord L. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
80', Brenan T. ↓, Sutton L. ↑,
81', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
81', Collins A. ↓, Leko J. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Harrogate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, MK Dons is the clear favorite.

There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W. (Inactive) Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Harrogate: Bradbury T. (Injury) Cass L. (Inactive) Fox B. (Inactive) Hill T. (Injury) McCoulsky S. (Inactive) Oxley M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in MK Dons: Maguire L. (Inactive) Matete J. (Inactive) Paterson C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Harrogate: Smith R. (Injury)

We predict that MK Dons will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 3.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
28.02.26	Cambridge United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
23.02.26	Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWTWW
- Harrogate Town
English League Two
27.02.26	Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Harrogate Town - Bromley	0:0 ✺
17.02.26	Barrow - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Chesterfield - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Harrogate Town - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.8 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
20.12.25	Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons	0:4
28.01.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Harrogate Town	2:1
01.10.24	Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:5
20.04.24	Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons	3:5
30.09.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Harrogate Town	0:1

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