Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 36

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Prenton Park (Birkenhead)

Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)


	Tranmere Rovers		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.6
	2.05	3.4	3.4
	2.1	3.5	3.4
	2.11	3.4	3.3
	2.09	3.55	3.64
	2.05	3.5	3.4
	2.05	3.48	3.46	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.7)	3.45 ↓ (3.83)	3.45 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tranmere Rovers
45.5%

Draw
27.2%

Sutton United
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.4%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

21.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tranmere Rovers's form might have worsened.

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sutton United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Tranmere Rovers - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Sutton will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGee L. (G) 2. O'Connor L. 5. Davies T. 6. Turnbull J. 27. Wood C. 25. Apter R. 4. Walker B. 8. Hendry R. 7. Morris K. 18. Jennings C. 19. Saunders H.	25. Arnold S. (G) 22. Kizzi J. 5. Goodliffe B. 42. Hart S. 23. Jackson R. 15. Eastmond C. 16. Clay C. 3. Adom-Malaki S. 31. Lakin C. 38. Sanderson O. 9. Smith H.
Substitutes
11. Hawkes J. 22. Lewis P. 16. Merrie C. 13. Murphy J. (G) 9. Norris L. 24. Pike D. 21. Yarney J.	21. Bouzanis D. (G) 7. Coley J. 50. Duke-McKenna S. 27. Moore D. 8. N'Guessan C. 35. Taylor J. 39. Williams J.
Coaches
Adkins N.	Morison S.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 18 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Tranmere will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Tranmere won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
27.02.24	Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Tranmere Rovers - Stockport County	4:0 ✺
13.02.24	Tranmere Rovers - Morecambe	2:3 ✺
10.02.24	Doncaster Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLL
- Sutton United
English League Two
27.02.24	Notts County - Sutton United	3:4 ✺
24.02.24	Sutton United - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Bradford City - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
13.02.24	Sutton United - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Morecambe - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.11.23	Sutton United - Tranmere Rovers	1:1
07.01.23	Tranmere Rovers - Sutton United	2:2
08.10.22	Sutton United - Tranmere Rovers	0:2
19.03.22	Sutton United - Tranmere Rovers	1:1
13.11.21	Tranmere Rovers - Sutton United	0:1
English National League
23.12.17	Sutton United - Tranmere Rovers	1:3
12.08.17	Tranmere Rovers - Sutton United	0:1

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