Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 35

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)


	Sutton United		Colchester United

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.8
	2.35	3.4	2.8
	2.4	3.4	2.85
	2.43	3.45	2.72
	2.55	3.38	2.9
	2.38	3.4	2.7
	2.4	3.44	2.81	Watch
	2.34	3.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.26)	3.41 ↑ (3.35)	2.79 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
38.8%

Draw
27.6%

Colchester United
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

27.9%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

29.5%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sutton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Sutton United - Colchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Colchester will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Arnold S. (G) 23. Jackson R. 22. Kizzi J. 5. Goodliffe B. 42. Hart S. 31. Lakin C. 7. Coley J. 16. Clay C. 15. Eastmond C. (C) 3. Adom-Malaki S. 9. Smith H.	1. Goodman O. (G) 26. Richardson J. 22. Harbottle R. 5. Hall C. (C) 3. Iandolo E. 16. Read A. 10. Chilvers N. 27. Smith A. 13. McGeehan C. 42. Fevrier J. 24. Akinde J.
Substitutes
33. Angol L. 50. Duke-McKenna S. 27. Moore D. 99. Roberts S. 38. Sanderson O. 4. Sowunmi O. 35. Taylor J.	6. Dallison T. 18. Egbo M. 14. Hopper T. 29. Hornby S. (G) 48. Ihionvein B. 7. Jay M. 20. Mingi J. J.
Coaches
Morison S.	Cowley D.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 21).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sutton won 3.

Sutton has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Colchester is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Colchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sutton won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
17.02.24	Bradford City - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
13.02.24	Sutton United - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Morecambe - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Sutton United - Doncaster Rovers	1:1 ✺
30.01.24	Sutton United - Harrogate Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Colchester United
English League Two
17.02.24	Colchester United - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Harrogate Town - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Colchester United - Forest Green Rovers	3:3 ✺
27.01.24	Morecambe - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Colchester United - Bradford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
11.11.23	Colchester United - Sutton United	1:1
22.04.23	Colchester United - Sutton United	4:1
10.12.22	Sutton United - Colchester United	1:0
18.01.22	Sutton United - Colchester United	3:2
English EFL Trophy
04.01.22	Sutton United - Colchester United	2:1
English League Two
26.10.21	Colchester United - Sutton United	1:3

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