Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 27

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Meadow Lane (Nottingham)


	Notts County		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.2	4.5
	1.65	4.1	4.5
	1.66	4.2	4.5
	1.65	4.09	4.21
	1.68	4.19	4.88
	1.6	4.2	4.75
	1.66	4.2	4.45
	1.59	4.1	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.52)	4.16 ↓ (4.5)	4.55 ↓ (5.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
56.9%

Draw
22.5%

Sutton United
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

21%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

18.6%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Notts County's form might have worsened.

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Notts County - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: Notts County will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 32. Warner J. 15. Baldwin A. 4. Cameron K. (C) 11. Nemane A. 8. Austin S. 20. Robertson S. 6. O'Brien J. 7. Crowley D. 10. Jones J. 9. Langstaff M.	25. Arnold S. (G) 22. Kizzi J. 5. Goodliffe B. 42. Hart S. 23. Jackson R. 15. Eastmond C. (C) 31. Lakin C. 3. Adom-Malaki S. 50. Duke-McKenna S. 38. Sanderson O. 9. Smith H.
Substitutes
16. Bostock J. 23. Chicksen A. 44. Colkett Ch. 29. Jatta A. 28. Macari L. 5. Rawlinson C. 1. Slocombe S. (G)	16. Clay C. 7. Coley J. 30. Kerbey M. (G) 27. Moore D. 8. N'Guessan C. 35. Taylor J. 39. Williams J.
Coaches
Maynard S.	Morison S.

Preview

Postponed due to FA Cup.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Recent matches Notts County is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sutton is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Notts County could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Notts County is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English League Two
24.02.24	Notts County - Crewe Alexandra	1:3 ✺
17.02.24	Wrexham - Notts County	1:0 ✺
13.02.24	Newport County - Notts County	1:3 ✺
09.02.24	Notts County - Gillingham	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Mansfield Town - Notts County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- Sutton United
English League Two
24.02.24	Sutton United - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Bradford City - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
13.02.24	Sutton United - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Morecambe - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Sutton United - Doncaster Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
05.08.23	Sutton United - Notts County	5:1
English National League
04.05.21	Notts County - Sutton United	3:2
13.10.20	Sutton United - Notts County	0:1
07.12.19	Notts County - Sutton United	1:1
07.09.19	Sutton United - Notts County	1:1

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