Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 6

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Prenton Park (Birkenhead)

Referee: Woods M. (Eng)


	Tranmere Rovers		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.75	1.95
	3.4	3.8	1.95
	3.57	3.91	2.01
	3.3	3.5	1.85
	3.52	3.76	1.97	Watch
	3.35	3.65	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.96)	3.73 ↑ (3.39)	1.95 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tranmere Rovers
27%

Draw
25%

Wrexham
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

27.8%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

27.4%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wrexham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wrexham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	42.9%	57.1%

Tranmere Rovers - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGee L. (G) 21. Yarney J. 6. Turnbull J. 5. Davies T. (C) 7. Morris K. 8. Hendry R. 16. Merrie C. 99. Pike D. 18. Jennings C. 11. Hawkes J. 14. Dennis K.	21. Howard M. (G) 5. Hayden A. 4. Tozer B. 25. Boyle W. 29. Barnett R. 22. O'Connor T. 8. Young L. (C) 23. McClean J. 38. Lee E. 18. Dalby S. 9. Palmer O.
Substitutes
12. Jolley C. 22. Lewis P. 23. McAlear R. 13. Murphy J. (G) 9. Norris L. 20. Taylor S. 4. Walker B.	27. Bickerstaff J. 20. Cannon A. 99. Evans G. 14. Forde A. 31. McNicholas L. (G) 19. Mendy J. 15. O'Connell E.
Coaches
Dawes I.	Parkinson P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 3.

Tranmere is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wrexham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wrexham will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Tranmere won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tranmere Rovers
English League Cup
29.08.23	Tranmere Rovers - Leicester City	0:2 ✺
English League Two
26.08.23	Notts County - Tranmere Rovers	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Tranmere Rovers - Salford City	3:4 ✺
15.08.23	Tranmere Rovers - Harrogate Town	3:0 ✺
12.08.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWL
- Wrexham AFC
English League Cup
29.08.23	Wrexham - Bradford City	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
26.08.23	Barrow - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Wrexham - Swindon Town	5:5 ✺
15.08.23	Wrexham - Walsall	4:2 ✺
12.08.23	AFC Wimbledon - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
27.01.18	Wrexham - Tranmere Rovers	2:2
23.09.17	Tranmere Rovers - Wrexham	0:1
01.04.17	Wrexham - Tranmere Rovers	0:1
English FA Trophy
10.12.16	Wrexham - Tranmere Rovers	0:1
English National League
08.10.16	Tranmere Rovers - Wrexham	2:0
16.04.16	Tranmere Rovers - Wrexham	1:2
English FA Trophy
12.12.15	Tranmere Rovers - Wrexham	2:4

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