Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 29 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Prenton Park (Birkenhead)

Referee: Toner B. (Eng)


	Tranmere Rovers		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	9.5	5	1.33
	8	5.25	1.35
	8.54	5.37	1.34
	5	3.8	1.5
	8.6	5.4	1.33	Watch
	8.4	5.4	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.01 ↑ (4.88)	5.04 ↑ (3.9)	1.36 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tranmere Rovers
11.8%

Draw
18.8%

Leicester City
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

24.1%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

23.4%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tranmere Rovers's form might have worsened.

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leicester City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tranmere Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leicester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.8%	88.2%

Tranmere Rovers - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: Leicester City will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Murphy J. (G) 21. Yarney J. 5. Davies T. (C) 6. Turnbull J. 24. Pike D. 7. Morris K. 8. Hendry R. 16. Merrie C. 20. Taylor S. 18. Jennings C. 11. Hawkes J.	41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 2. Justin J. 3. Faes W. 17. Choudhury H. 5. Doyle C. 7. Casadei C. 8. Winks H. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 11. Albrighton M. 9. Vardy J. (C) 10. Mavididi S.
Substitutes
28. Davies M. 14. Dennis K. 10. Hemmings K. 17. Hughes R. 12. Jolley C. 22. Lewis P. 23. McAlear R. 1. McGee L. (G) 4. Walker B.	29. Akgun Y. 30. Hermansen M. (G) 14. Iheanacho K. 40. Marcal-Madivadua W. 25. Ndidi W. 45. Nelson B. 21. Pereira R. 23. Vestergaard J. 1. Ward D. (G)
Coaches
Dawes I.	Maresca E.

Preview

Recent matches Tranmere is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leicester in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Tranmere could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leicester is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Leicester: Coady C. (Foot Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
26.08.23	Notts County - Tranmere Rovers	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Tranmere Rovers - Salford City	3:4 ✺
15.08.23	Tranmere Rovers - Harrogate Town	3:0 ✺
12.08.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Barnsley - Tranmere Rovers	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWLW
- Leicester City
English League Championship
26.08.23	Rotherham United - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Leicester City - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Huddersfield Town - Leicester City	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.23	Burton Albion - Leicester City	0:2 ✺
English League Championship
06.08.23	Leicester City - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

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