Match Info

League Two - Round 30

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Prenton Park (Birkenhead)

Referee: Eley R. (Eng)


	Tranmere Rovers		Salford City

	1	X	2
	4	3.75	1.76	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.15
	4.15	3.7	1.78
	4.38	3.76	1.82
	3.8	3.64	1.88	Watch
	4	3.4	1.8
	4.01	3.76	1.81	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.14)	3.63 ↑ (3.38)	1.85 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tranmere Rovers
23.7%

Draw
25.8%

Salford City
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

27.2%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tranmere Rovers's form might have worsened.

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salford City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Tranmere Rovers - Salford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Salford will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Salford (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Murphy J. (G) 5. Smith N. 15. Tamen W. 3. Brough P. 2. Norman C. 8. Finley S. (C) 42. Kenneh N. 23. Bristow E. 7. Whitaker C. 27. Jones D. 9. Dennis K.	1. Young M. (G) 6. Turton O. 15. Cooper B. 29. Garbutt L. (C) 10. N'Mai K. 21. Cesay K. 8. Grant J. 17. Austerfield J. 45. Longelo-Mbule R. 26. Graydon R. 23. Udoh D.
Substitutes
12. Barrett J. (G) 24. Blacker B. 29. Ironside J. 16. Lowe J. 30. McGowan A. 26. Plant J. 6. Smallwood R.	4. Ashley O. 28. Awe Z. 16. Borini F. 18. Butcher M. 33. Howard M. (G) 9. Stockton C. 7. Woodburn B.
Coaches
Crosby A.	Robinson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Austerfield J. ↓, Ashley O. ↑,
46', Cesay K. ↓, Woodburn B. ↑,
51', Jones D. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
64', Cooper B. ↓, Awe Z. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Grant J. ⚽, Graydon R. (A),
72', Kenneh N. ↓, Blacker B. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, N'Mai K. ⚽, Garbutt L. (A),
78', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, Butcher M. ↑,
79', Tamen W. ↓, Plant J. ↑,
79', Norman C. ↓, McGowan A. ↑,
81', Finley S. 🟨,
81', Grant J. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
90+5', Dennis K. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 1.

Tranmere is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Salford is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tranmere may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Salford will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Tranmere: Lowe J. (Inactive) McGee L. (Hip Injury) O'Connor L. (Inactive) Williams J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Salford: Bird J. (Inactive) Edwards T. (Inactive) Harris K. (Inactive) Oluwo A. (Inactive) Rose M. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Tranmere: Joseph J. (Inactive) Turnbull J. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Salford: 19.35% Tranmere: 0.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Salford	10	6	1	3	15:10	5	19
13	Tranmere	10	2	6	2	13:13	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Tranmere Rovers - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.35%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Salford City - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.45%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
27.01.26	Barnet - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Cambridge United - Tranmere Rovers	4:2 ✺
17.01.26	Tranmere Rovers - Walsall	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Tranmere Rovers - Bromley	0:2 ✺
01.01.26	Harrogate Town - Tranmere Rovers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- Salford City
English League Two
27.01.26	Salford City - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Salford City - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
20.01.26	Salford City - Swindon Town	3:2 ✺
English League Two
17.01.26	Swindon Town - Salford City	2:3 ✺
01.01.26	Barrow - Salford City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
06.09.25	Salford City - Tranmere Rovers	3:1
08.02.25	Salford City - Tranmere Rovers	2:0
27.09.24	Tranmere Rovers - Salford City	0:0
26.12.23	Salford City - Tranmere Rovers	1:5
19.08.23	Tranmere Rovers - Salford City	3:4
11.02.23	Tranmere Rovers - Salford City	1:0
17.09.22	Salford City - Tranmere Rovers	0:1

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