Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Tre Penne		Domagnano

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.25	6.7	Watch
	1.38	4.4	6.26
	1.4	4.58	6.45	Watch
	1.36	4	7
	1.36	4.4	7.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.42)	4.33 ↑ (4.2)	6.72 ↑ (6.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tre Penne
65.7%

Draw
20.9%

Domagnano
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.5%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20.4%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Domagnano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Domagnano than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Tre Penne - Domagnano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Palazzi M. (Penalty Awarded),
15', 2 - 0, Peluso L. ⚽, Casadio P. (A),
43', 3 - 0, Badalassi I. ⚽, Errico S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 3 - 1, Bonetti M. ⚽, Nanni S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Tre Penne is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:11. (average 2.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tre Penne won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 2.2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tre Penne	4	4	0	0	9:2	7	12
6	Domagnano	4	2	0	2	7:6	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tre Penne
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
12.05.26	Tre Penne - La Fiorita	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	La Fiorita - Tre Penne	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Cosmos - Tre Penne	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Tre Penne - Cosmos	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Tre Penne - San Giovanni	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTTW
- FC Domagnano
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
12.05.26	Domagnano - Virtus	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Virtus - Domagnano	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Folgore - Domagnano	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Domagnano - Folgore	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Domagnano - Folgore	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
08.03.26	Domagnano - Tre Penne	1:2
08.11.25	Tre Penne - Domagnano	0:0
San Marino Coppa Titano
21.10.25	Domagnano - Tre Penne	2:2
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
01.02.25	Tre Penne - Domagnano	3:1
10.03.24	Tre Penne - Domagnano	0:2
25.11.23	Domagnano - Tre Penne	0:0
04.02.23	Domagnano - Tre Penne	1:2

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