Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 27

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


San-marino	San Marino RTV


	Tre Penne		Virtus

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.92	2.58	Watch
	2.67	2.89	2.56
	2.65	3.01	2.65	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.4
	2.92	3.34	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.46)	3.01 ↓ (3.17)	2.51 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tre Penne
33.6%

Draw
30.1%

Virtus
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.1%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27.8%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tre Penne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tre Penne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Tre Penne - Virtus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Casadio P. ⚽, Pastorelli L. (A),
25', Montanari A. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, Golinucci A. ⚽, Lombardi T. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 1.

Tre Penne is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Virtus's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tre Penne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tre Penne	4	4	0	0	9:2	7	12
3	Virtus	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Tre Penne - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.45%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tre Penne
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
22.03.26	Tre Penne - Folgore	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Murata - Tre Penne	0:4 ✺
08.03.26	Domagnano - Tre Penne	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Tre Fiori - Tre Penne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWWW
- SS Virtus
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
22.03.26	Virtus - Domagnano	3:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
18.03.26	Tre Fiori - Virtus	1:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
14.03.26	Tre Fiori - Virtus	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Virtus - Juvenes-Dogana	2:0 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
04.03.26	Virtus - Tre Fiori	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
06.12.25	Virtus - Tre Penne	2:1
06.04.25	Virtus - Tre Penne	2:0
07.12.24	Tre Penne - Virtus	1:2
20.04.24	Tre Penne - Virtus	0:1
14.01.24	Virtus - Tre Penne	1:2
San Marino Super Cup
01.09.23	Tre Penne - Virtus	0:2
San Marino Coppa Titano
27.05.23	Virtus - Tre Penne	3:1

Tre Penne - Virtus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide