Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Briamasco (Trento) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Trento		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.60	4.80
	1.65	3.4	4.8	Watch
	1.72	3.4	4.89
	1.71	3.42	4.77	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.75
	1.7	3.28	4.63	Watch
	1.67	3.45	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.5)	3.41 ↓ (3.68)	4.78 ↓ (6.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trento
54.4%

Draw
26.6%

Folgore Caratese
19%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.7%

24.8%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

23.8%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trento's form might have worsened.

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trento than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-5%)

Trento - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barlocco S. (G) 44. Maffei M. 5. Kassama S. 18. Benassai F. 3. D'Intino R. 23. Aucelli C. 6. Fossati M. (C) 8. Benedetti G. 14. Sodero A. 9. Molina J. I. 21. Ladisa M.	1. Salvalaggio D. (G) 19. Duca T. 21. Gega E. 43. Bassino A. 29. Minerva F. 6. Ndoj E. 8. Castellano F. (C) 11. Balzano M. 92. Tessiore A. 9. Spalluto S. 99. D'Amico F.
Substitutes
11. Accornero F. 95. Caia F. 70. Calza G. 27. Frison F. 80. Garetto M. 37. Genco A. 22. Goller E. (G) 73. Grossi J. 25. Mehic A. 19. Muca Z. 12. Santer L. (G) 99. Sartori F. 4. Trainotti A.	18. Ambrosini M. 24. Bellia E. 12. Castelnuovo M. (G) 7. Cester S. 80. Di Dio F. 22. Facchini T. (G) 77. Mezsargs K. 28. Pedicillo L. 61. Santarcangelo A. 10. Vacca A. 72. Vignoli M.
Coaches
Tabbiani L.	Guidi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', D'Intino R. ↓, Mehic A. ↑,
18', Benassai F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Tessiore A. 🟨,
55', Mehic A. 🟨,
59', Sodero A. ↓, Accornero F. ↑,
66', Spalluto S. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
66', Tessiore A. ↓, Di Dio F. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Ladisa M. ⚽, Maffei M. (A),
72', Duca T. 🟨,
72', Minerva F. ↓, Cester S. ↑,
79', Ndoj E. ↓, Bellia E. ↑,
79', Duca T. ↓, Mezsargs K. ↑,
86', Benedetti G. ↓, Garetto M. ↑,
86', Molina J. I. ↓, Caia F. ↑,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 17th in the Serie C - Play Out).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Trento may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Trento for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Trento	11	6	5	0	17:6	11	23
19	Folgore Caratese	11	1	4	6	11:17	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Trento SCSD
Italian Serie C Group A
04.10.26	Alcione - Trento	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Pergolettese - Trento	0:0 ✺
21.09.26	Trento - Pro Vercelli	4:0 ✺
17.09.26	Giana Erminio - Trento	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Trento - Brescia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTWTT
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie C Group A
03.10.26	Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Lumezzane - Folgore Caratese	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Folgore Caratese - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
17.09.26	Pergolettese - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Folgore Caratese - Alcione	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTTL

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