Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 7

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Treze		Ceará

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2
	3.6	3.2	1.95	Watch
	4.13	3.15	1.98
	4.14	3.02	1.98
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3.85	3.22	1.9	Watch
	3.65	3.1	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.52)	3.16 ↓ (3.16)	1.98 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treze
24.6%

Draw
29%

Ceará
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

28.9%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

28.4%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treze than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Treze - Ceará Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Igor Rayan (G) 8. Edmundo 10. Gui Campana 6. Higor 5. Juninho 3. Luis Fernando 4. Rafael Castro 9. Thiaguinho 2. Van 7. Will 11. Xande	1. Richard (G) 31. Barcelo F. 27. Bruninho 4. David Ricardo 77. Janderson 97. Lourenco 10. Lucas Mugni 79. Matheus Bahia 2. Rai Ramos 40. Ramon Menezes 26. Richardson
Substitutes
12. Andrade (G) 19. Di Maria 22. Felipe Pacajus 23. Lucas Mineiro 18. Matheus Chaves 1. Nayan (G) 15. Pedrao 20. Rickelme 17. Roberto 14. Saimon 21. Vitao 16. Wanderson	94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 82. Caio Rafael 5. Jean Irmer 17. Joao Victor 55. Jonathan Jesus 42. Matheus Felipe 21. Paulo Victor 6. Ramos R. 28. Recalde J. 73. Saulo Mineiro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Luis Fernando 🟨,
35', Richardson 🟨,
36', Will 🟨,
45', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
45+2', David Ricardo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bruninho ↓, Saulo Mineiro ↑,
48', 0 - 1, David Ricardo ⚽,
61', Xande ↓, Wanderson ↑,
64', Barcelo F. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
68', Juninho ↓, Roberto ↑,
69', Edmundo ↓, Matheus Chaves ↑,
72', Gui Campana ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
73', Thiaguinho ↓, Di Maria ↑,
79', Lucas Mugni ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
80', Janderson ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
87', Lourenco ↓, Matheus Felipe ↑,
88', Richard 🟨,

Preview

Treze is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ceará is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Treze could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ceará will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Treze won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Treze won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treze FC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
21.03.24	Treze - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
16.03.24	Treze - Campinense	3:0 ✺
13.03.24	Botafogo PB - Treze	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Centro Sportivo Paraibano - Treze	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.03.24	Maranhão - Treze	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWWL
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
20.03.24	Fortaleza - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
16.03.24	Ceará - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.03.24	Ceará - Bahia	1:2 ✺
28.02.24	Ceará - ABC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
02.02.14	Ceará - Treze	2:0
22.01.14	Treze - Ceará	0:1

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