The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tristán Suárez 35%
Draw 32.2%
Deportivo Morón 32.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
30.9%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.1%
20.3%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristán Suárez that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Morón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Morón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Tristán Suárez is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Deportivo Morón is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Deportivo Morón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Deportivo Morón have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Tristán Suárez won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Tristán Suárez won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
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