Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 22

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio 20 de Octubre (Tristan Suarez)

Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)


	Tristán Suárez		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.45
	2.8	3.1	2.35
	2.9	3	2.5
	3.17	3.16	2.43
	2.9	3	2.35
	3.08	3.24	2.36
	2.9	3.15	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.93)	3.12 ↓ (3.13)	2.41 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristán Suárez
31.3%

Draw
29.9%

Independiente Rivadavia
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

29.6%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

28.9%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Independiente Rivadavia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Tristán Suárez - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendive J. (G) 4. Gorosito I. 6. Martinez L. (C) 2. Pantaleone N. 3. Canzoniero L. 5. Velez R. 8. Montenegro M. 10. Datolo J. 7. Brambillo M. 9. Ayala Rodriguez S. A. 11. Miranda B.	1. Gagliardo M. (G) 4. Abecasis L. 2. Flores S. 6. Maidana M. (C) 3. Elordi J. M. 8. Ham E. 5. Romero F. 11. Gonzalez M. 7. Aguirre J. 10. Sanchez B. 9. Arce A.
Substitutes
12. Bacher E. (G) 19. Banuera G. 18. Bergessio G. 20. Coniglio F. 14. Ortega T. 13. Pared G. 15. Perez T. 16. Ruiz P. 17. Villalba L.	15. Ascacibar J. 14. Dionisio A. 18. Distaulo A. 17. Ilarregui F. 12. Masuero F. (G) 16. Ortale M. 19. Perales J. 13. Petrasso F. 20. Valdez I.
Coaches
Di Noia G.	Berti A.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Tristán Suárez is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Independiente Rivadavia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Independiente Rivadavia have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tristán Suárez won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Tristán Suárez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.07.23	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	3:2 ✺
01.07.23	Tristán Suárez - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
24.06.23	Deportivo Madryn - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
17.06.23	Tristán Suárez - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	Tristán Suárez - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLTT
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.07.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Chacarita Juniors	1:0 ✺
02.07.23	Mitre - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
24.06.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
17.06.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
03.06.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.03.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Tristán Suárez	1:3
03.04.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Tristán Suárez	2:1
19.09.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Tristán Suárez	1:2
08.05.21	Tristán Suárez - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2

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