Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 20

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio 20 de Octubre (Tristan Suarez)

Referee: Lopez R. (Arg)


	Tristán Suárez		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	7.5
	1.47	4	6
	1.55	4.05	5.6
	1.53	4.1	6.46
	1.5	3.6	6.5
	1.53	4	6.5
	1.51	3.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (2.02)	3.89 ↑ (3.33)	6.39 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristán Suárez
61.5%

Draw
24%

Villa Dálmine
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.2%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

22.8%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristán Suárez's performance.

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa Dálmine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-23.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristán Suárez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa Dálmine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Tristán Suárez - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Users Predictions: Tristán Suárez will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 4. Gorosito I. 2. Martinez L. 6. Pantaleone N. 3. Ortega T. 8. Montenegro M. 5. Velez R. 10. Miranda B. 11. Almada A. 7. Ruiz P. 9. Bergessio G.	1. Kletnicki C. (G) 4. Romat N. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Rosso F. 3. Maidana L. 8. Perez R. 5. Alcaraz A. 10. Castaneda D. 11. Tello L. 7. Olivera M. 9. Molina J.
Substitutes
18. Ayala Rodriguez S. A. 19. Banuera G. 16. Brambillo M. 15. Cardozo L. 14. Iriarte I. 12. Mendive J. (G) 13. Pared G. 17. Villalba L. 20. Zarza J.	15. Arzura J. 19. Barberini V. 18. Conberse B. 13. Cosciuc F. 14. Gimenez J. 17. Groba G. 16. Rivadeneira M. 12. Salerno F. (G)
Coaches
Di Noia G.	Gareca F.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tristán Suárez won 0.

Tristán Suárez is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villa Dálmine has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Tristán Suárez is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tristán Suárez won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Tristán Suárez won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.06.23	Deportivo Madryn - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
17.06.23	Tristán Suárez - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	Tristán Suárez - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
28.05.23	Brown de Adrogué - Tristán Suárez	2:1 ✺
20.05.23	Tristán Suárez - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTLT
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.06.23	Villa Dálmine - Chacarita Juniors	0:1 ✺
18.06.23	Mitre - Villa Dálmine	3:1 ✺
03.06.23	Chaco For Ever - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Villa Dálmine - Independiente Rivadavia	0:3 ✺
21.05.23	Deportivo Maipú - Villa Dálmine	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.02.23	Villa Dálmine - Tristán Suárez	3:1
10.09.22	Tristán Suárez - Villa Dálmine	1:1
23.10.21	Tristán Suárez - Villa Dálmine	1:1
27.06.21	Villa Dálmine - Tristán Suárez	1:1
Argentinian Primera B
08.12.14	Tristán Suárez - Villa Dálmine	0:2
03.12.14	Villa Dálmine - Tristán Suárez	0:1
31.10.14	Villa Dálmine - Tristán Suárez	1:0

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