The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tristán Suárez 49.8%
Draw 32%
Patronato Parana 18.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.1%
30.4%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
29.5%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Tristán Suárez - Patronato Parana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bigo J. (G) 4. Aguilar B. 2. Guzman M. 6. Baldi A. 3. Fernandez N. 8. Del Priore N. 5. Enrique M. 10. Becker D. 11. Beron J. 7. Guillen M. 9. Conechny R.
1. Sosa A. (G) 4. Rueda W. 2. Meritello F. 6. Evangelista F. 3. Piccioni S. 8. Salas J. 5. Picco A. (C) 10. Barinaga J. P. 11. Pereyra V. L. 7. Soldano F. 9. Reynaga R.
Substitutes
20. Berrondo A. 18. Magnotta S. 15. Mastrangelo D. 12. Mendive J. (G) 14. Molina A. 17. Noriega L. 13. Olguin M. 19. Ramirez S. 16. Sanchez N.
19. Attis T. 17. Bravo B. 15. Brugevin M. 13. Diaz F. N. 16. Miro A. 14. Moreyra F. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 20. Rivero H. 18. Salega G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Piccioni S. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Becker D. ⚽,
40', Meritello F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Piccioni S. ↓, Moreyra F. ↑,
46', Barinaga J. P. ↓, Attis T. ↑,
46', Reynaga R. ↓, Miro A. ↑,
61', Evangelista F. 🟨,
69', Conechny R. 🟨,
72', Conechny R. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
72', Becker D. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
80', Beron J. ↓, Berrondo A. ↑,
85', Attis T. 🟨,
86', Salas J. 🟥,
87', Sanchez N. 🟨,
90+4', Berrondo A. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 15th).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Tristán Suárez carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Tristán Suárez has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 0.6:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tristán Suárez against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).