Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 15

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Romssa Arena (Tromsø)

Referee: Hagenes K. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Tromsø		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.7	4	Watch
	1.85	3.7	4.1	Watch
	1.85	3.92	4.25
	1.82	3.89	4.07	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.9
	1.82	3.85	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.6	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.94)	3.75 ↑ (3.71)	4.03 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsø
51.4%

Draw
25.2%

Lillestrøm SK
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

25.3%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tromsø will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Lillestrøm will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tromsø: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Haugaard J. (G) 2. Cornic L. 30. Vadebu I. 21. Guddal T. 25. Kinteh A. S. 29. Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. 5. Edvardsson D. 11. Jenssen R. (C) 6. Hjerto-Dahl J. 7. Larsen L. O. 9. Braut D.	12. Dahlberg P. (G) 2. Ranger L. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 23. Jenssen U. 26. Paintsil Y. 29. Ibrahimaj Y. 15. Drammeh S. 8. Karlsbakk M. 17. Kitolano E. 20. Felix Va 10. Olsen T.
Substitutes
19. Elvebu A. L. 24. Husebo J. 37. Innvaer S. 22. Larsen H. 12. Lauvli O. (G) 27. Mikkelsen M. 10. Nyhammer T. 4. Skjaervik V. 3. Tonnessen M.	7. Alperud L. 9. Arierhi K. 5. Foss S. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 19. Jebara C. 22. Kitolano J. 14. Nyheim G. 3. Ottesen S. 6. Woxen H.
Coaches
Vik J.	Odegaard H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Ibrahimaj Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Larsen L. O. ↓, Larsen H. ↑,
67', Drammeh S. ↓, Jebara C. ↑,
67', Olsen T. ↓, Arierhi K. ↑,
73', Paintsil Y. 🟨,
73', Cornic L. 🟨,
81', Cornic L. ↓, Skjaervik V. ↑,
81', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↓, Innvaer S. ↑,
87', Felix Va ↓, Alperud L. ↑,
87', Kitolano E. ↓, Nyheim G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 3.

Tromsø is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Lillestrøm has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Tromsø has had a series of home games.

Recently, Lillestrøm has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tromsø is the team to beat.

There will not play in Tromsø: Grundt J. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Lillestrøm: Elkaer F. (Knee Injury) Waehler M. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Lillestrøm: Garnas E. B. (Injury) Krygard K. (Injury)

We predict that Tromsø will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tromsø won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tromso	22	11	6	5	41:30	11	39
6	Lillestrom	22	10	3	9	30:31	-1	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Eliteserien
11.04.26	Tromsø - Kristiansund	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Tromsø - Rosenborg	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Tromsø - Start	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.03.26	Brann - Tromsø	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Tromsø - Fredrikstad	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWW
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Eliteserien
11.04.26	Lillestrøm SK - Start	3:1 ✺
06.04.26	Molde - Lillestrøm SK	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Örgryte - Lillestrøm SK	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.03.26	Bodø Glimt - Lillestrøm SK	4:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.03.26	Aalesunds - Lillestrøm SK	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.02.26	Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK	0:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
25.08.24	Lillestrøm SK - Tromsø	0:1
02.06.24	Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK	1:2
06.08.23	Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK	3:1
02.07.23	Lillestrøm SK - Tromsø	0:1
Norwegian NM Cup
19.03.23	Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK	2:3
Norwegian Eliteserien
07.08.22	Lillestrøm SK - Tromsø	1:1

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